RiverDog
Well-known member
The NYT's playoff predictor used to treat every game the same, with equal likelihood of either team winning or losing. But this year, they're incorporating data from betting organizations and assigning a win probability to the remaining games of each team.23% seems a little high, but we played the Niners better than the #1 team in the NFC. Transitive property doesn’t work in the NFL, and divisional rivalry, and alll that, but anything is still possible.
Not sure if I really want to make the playoffs. We need some draft help, and some coaching turnover, and not making the playoffs puts us in a better position for both.
My guess is that they have us finishing the season at 9-8 but losing the tiebreaker to the Rams and Packers. Like us, the Rams will be underdogs in 2 of their remaining games (vs. Ravens and Niners) and the Packers will have no more than two games (vs. Bucs and Vikings) where they'll be the underdog. Of the three 6-6 teams, the Packers have the easiest schedule with the Bears, Giants, and Panthers on their docket. If we finish with the same record as the Rams and Packers, we'll lose the tiebreaker.
Your second paragraph represents a real conundrum for me. In my heart, it's against my nature to root for my team to lose, but the logical side of my mind tells me that it's probably better in the long run if we were to lose.
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