RichNhansom wrote:Next weekend is when the fun starts? If your a Niner fan then yes I agree but that is most certainly all going to be based on hype. So yes next weekend the hypes starts and obviously it will be fun for 49er fans. Just remember one thing. You have to play the games. Or in your case, they need to prove they can play at an NFL level and do it better than Jenkins did. Keep this in mind when you get excited about the draft picks you bring in because you and many other Niner fans have been very diligent in pointing out championship off seasons and the only thing worse than winning FA is winning the draft.
Last year everyone gave the Seahawks a D or worse and then Wagner, Wilson and Irvin happened. In fact the last time I remember the Seahawks having a good draft grade after the draft was when we took Aaron Curry 4th overall.
If you think the price was to high for Harvin, your going to have a meltdown when/if they resign Crabtree. It is what it is. We as Seahawks fans are hoping this FO that put in a 4 year plan and is now considered one of the best teams in the league coming into the start of their 4th season, actually does have a plan that is being realized but more importantly isn't so short sighted to not think beyond 4 years. I would loved to have gotten harvin for a late 7th and a league minimum contract but it is what it is and assuming it will cost the team dearly in some way in the future ignores that this FO has proven beyond any doubt that they know how to plan and have factored in everything that bringing Harvin in costs.
I'm gonna trust Pete/John on the Avril signing no matter what his previous scheme. Consider we traded Daryl Tapp to the Eagles for a 4th round pick and Ohh by the way, got them to throw in Chris Clemons who has been a consistent 10+ a year sack guy. I think these guys know how to identify the talent they are looking at and utilize it. Clemmons was an after thought in Philly only to become a complete stud in Seattle.
Bennett has graded out better than Jason Jones in nearly every statistical category while remaining healthy. Jones was brought in on a prove it contract and proved he couldn't be relied upon to stay healthy but when he was he made us significantly better. Now take that healthy version and improve it in performance and what is not to like about the signing? Unless your a Niner fan of course. But the move makes perfect sense, like it or not.
You like the Niner moves because you have justified them but from an outside perspective there are much bigger question marks than you or your faithful want to realize. Asomugha is a safe move in that it is cheap but come on now, there is nothing beyond hope that he is a strong addition. Likewise he is not a gamble so no big but really at this point the acquisition should be viewed exactly as the "no big". If he helps then great and if not no big deal.
Dorsey will be asked to do something he has never done, Play NT. He may have been miscast in KC but that is yet to be proven and the Niners are currently pegging him to be your starter at NT. Truth is he might end up being a very important player but it won't be at NT it will be replacing the 34 year old Justin Smith. That is his natural position in your scheme. Will he be as good as the the #4 overall pick who has been to 4 probowls with all pro honors? I don't know, maybe but that is still to be determined.
Now lets talk Boldin. I'm a Boldin fan but that is tempered. If the signings were reversed I would be excited about Boldon for his blocking, toughness and professionalism but I would be concerned that Wilson would know how to make Boldin productive. He is not like Harvin that is good at getting open. He is a big body receiver that will man handle DB's and put himself in favorable position to catch a pass. The problem is that most inexperienced QB's don't have the understanding of what that means. They look for receivers to either be open, breaking open or coming back for the ball. When they see a receiver who appears covered they move on to the next target. Keapernick (just like Wilson would) will have to prove he can recognize when Bolden is in position to catch a pass. He will also have to display great touch, finesse and timing to put the ball where Boldin has the best chance to come down with it. This negates Keapernicks arm strength and requires he have the ability to drop the ball into the best position for Boldin. This will actually be a very good test for Keapernick to show he has the cerebral ability to identify and process while also having the touch, finesse and timing to execute the pass. If he doesn't then Boldin is taking up 6 million of your cap space and a roster spot for a position that might have been better suited playing Lockette in.
If the Niners would have signed Harvin I would be simply crapping my pants and saying I don't like the Harvin move, but it's not because i don't like Harvin...I just think the price was too high and it'll bite them later.
A lot there to respond to but I’ll do my best…
Don’t misunderstand what I mean when I say next weekend is when the fun starts. I’m an NFL Draft addict. I’ve been watching it since 1989. I’ve recorded it since I had a VCR. The advent of the DVR is a godsend and allows me to record it on both ESPN and NFL Network. I love it. Can’t get enough.
It isn’t just the draft that’s based on hype….ANYTHING done in the offseason is hype. Harvin improving the Seahawks. Boldin improving the Niners. Assumpions. Hype. That’s kinda the entire point about the “off-season champs”. Personally I don’t really think that the Niners or Seahawks are in contention for the “off-season champions” award. While the Harvin move was really big, none of the other moves have been nearly as big. Maybe during the season they will turn out to be impactful, but you just don’t know. I’m not a fan as I’ve said before. The Dolphons are an example to me of an "offseason champ". HUGE free agent signings that I don't think will net them anything. Free Agency is fools gold.
As for the Niner moves, NONE of them will be enormously impactful in my opinion. Boldin won’t be a 1000 yard receiver. Asomugha won’t be the same guy…but it was worth giving him a shot. He very well may not make the roster. I like Dorsey, but I am in no way expecting him to suddenly be worthy of the top 5 pick that got him to KC. I don’t see him in those terms. I see him as a possible replacement for an underperforming Sopoaga at half the price.
That kinda leads me to what I meant about the price for Harvin. I didn’t just mean the contract. I meant the combination of the contract, and 1, a 7, and another 3 next year. Those picks are precious…especially for teams like SF and Seattle. The downside of drafting well is that you can’t keep all of your players. It’s too expensive. You need to get a bunch of picks to fill holes cheaply for 4 or 5 years. The 49ers ran into this already with Dashon Goldson. You guys will feel the pinch soon as well…particularly when Wilson completes his 3rd year. Of course its gonna cost a lot of $$$$$ when Crabtrees contract is up….but it won’t cost three draft picks. If they elect NOT to resign him, they will try to replace him with a guy who takes ONE pick and then has a contract that’s preset and he’s bound to it for 4 or 5 years. THAT is the point I was making in regards to Harvin.
I don’t give 2 sh*ts about draft grade. Nobody knows how good these picks will be. As I stated before, the fun starts for me because I love the draft process in general and the Niners have a ton of picks. The possibilities are what makes it fun.
As for the Avril and Bennett signings…I just can’t stand Avril. I think he’s way, way overrated. I think he benefitted from both the Wide 9 and from having Suh in the middle. Even with that, he had 9.5 sacks last year and Detroit didn’t try very hard to keep him. I’m just not a fan. Bennett? Just not jumping up and down for that one. Is it a BAD signing? No…I just don’t see it as a big deal.
The Niners signings to me were just maintenance. None of them make the team a much better team. They were just small moves to fill some holes in depth. As I said before though, the off-season is a net negative. They need to address FS and #2 TE. Hopefully they are able to do so in the draft.
As for your comments in regards to Kaep and Boldin…Kaep has already shown that ability. It doesn’t get a lot of pub, but if you watch a pass he made to Kyle Williams on Monday Night against the Bears or to Vernon Davis vs the Packers you can see that he can loft the ball up and put it right on a guys hands when he’s covered. Certainly, he and Boldin need to work on the chemistry just as all WRs and QBs do, but Kaep has already shown that he can do that.
Finally…your last comment…lol. It made me laugh, but I stand by my original comment. Harvin WILL make the Seahawks a better team IMO, but long term I still don’t lke the move. The combination of picks and $$$$ is just to high for me. If I were in that position, I’d rather have Tavon Austin. Its not because Tavon is better…it’s because even if you have to trade up to get him, he’s still on that rookie deal. It’s just my opinion and I’m sure you will disagree with it. ;-)