Kearly's 2013 offseason plan

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Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 12:04 am
  • Normally I do these in January, but I decided to wait for the eve of free agency this year to add a greater sense of plausibility. I should warn you that these tend to be on the optimistic extreme of realistic. Not everything I'm suggesting might actually be possible.

    _________________________________________________________

    Goals:

    #1: Diversify and improve the pass rush

    #2: Add a clutch receiver that knows how to improvise, preferably someone that can play anywhere but shines the most in the slot (Doug Baldwin's spot).

    #3: Solidify the weakside linebacker position

    #4: Find a 3rd tight end or upgrade on Anthony McCoy for a deadly TE trio.

    #5: Continue to churn talent in the secondary.

    #6: Find a low cost read option capable backup quarterback to compete with Josh Portis

    #7: Save money for future seasons and avoid massive long term contracts.

    _________________________________________________________

    Free Agency:

    Cap space: $18.5 million (estimated). Includes $12.5 million in rollover cash.

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    Sign WR Danario Alexander (Chargers) to a 4 year, $15 million contract with $6 million guaranteed. (2013 cap hit: $3 million)

    Alexander may have knee problems, but when healthy he is a fantastic receiver. He posted pro-bowl caliber numbers over his final 8 games last season. He's also 6'5" and fast (4.44 forty at his pro-day in 2010). Seattle needs quality depth for Sidney Rice, and even if Alexander doesn't see a ton of reps, he's a high value per rep player- similar to Golden Tate and Sidney Rice. That's ideal for a spread the football offense. Seattle can weather an injury to Alexander should he have one due to the depth of weapons at Wilson's disposal once this offseason is complete.

    Alexander was #1 in the NFL last season in yards per target (Golden Tate was #2). Alexander had 7 TDs last season on just 37 receptions. He had a phenomenal 17.8 yards per reception last season and is at 16.8 yards per catch for his career. A natural born deep threat with height and jump ball ability, Alexander gives Seattle exactly what they need at a bargain price.

    Because San Diego used the lowest RFA tender possible, signing Alexander will not cost a pick. Seattle must make sure to offer Alexander a contract with enough size and guaranteed money to scare San Diego away from matching. Since it's under new management, it might not take a whole lot. Poison pilling could be an option, but with Goodell you never know how he'd react to that, so I'd rather not risk it.

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    Sign DT Desmond Bryant (Raiders) to a 5 year, $25 million contract. (2013 cap hit: $4 million)

    Bryant was is a very good but unheralded pass rush DT out of Oakland. He was recently arrested and his mug shot became an international sensation. He might be the best defensive tackle available, but it's very difficult to gauge his market value in a suddenly weak defensive tackle free agent class. He might get less than this, or he might get more. I split the difference and assigned him Brandon Mebane money. Bryant is enough of an upgrade over Jones to be worth this money, and I'd rather sign a moderate contract to a worthy player than risk a 1st round pick on an unknown commodity.

    This move makes Jason Jones expendable. I'd be fine with giving him a very low contract, but I don't want to see our season derailed by another Jason Jones injury, and he's had a history with them.

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    Sign DE John Abraham (released, no comp pick factor) to a 1 year, $1 million contract. (2013 cap hit: $1 million)

    Abraham is 35 next season, but still can play at a high level. Interest in him has been minimal, and I think a 1 year veteran contract could certainly be in play, especially for a Superbowl favorite like Seattle. It's possible that the 49ers could get involved and generate a minor bidding war, but I can't predict that. Right now, Abraham looks like a really good player that will be playing on a 1 year minimum contract in 2013. I think at the absolute most, he might get 1 year $5 million, which I'd be willing to pay, but I don't think it will come to that.

    Abraham had 10 sacks, 6 forced fumbles, and 7 batted passes last season. He once possessed speed just a shade below Bruce Irvin, and he still looks fast and explosive even well into his 30s. Seattle needs another pass rusher, and I'd much rather bank on Abraham as a rental than an undeveloped mid round rookie with Clemons being a real threat to decline or miss time next season.

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    Sign QB Vince Young to a 1 year, minimum contract. (2013 cap hit: $0.825 million)

    Seattle needs a read option capable quarterback. There are only three of them in this draft, IMO. Geno Smith, EJ Manuel, and Matt Scott. All three will be gone before Seattle's 3rd round pick rolls around. Seattle isn't drafting a QB in the first two rounds, obviously.

    That leaves free agency, and the picture there is far from ideal. Vince Young, Tim Tebow (if released), Troy Smith (UFL), Darron Thomas (CFL), etc. I chose Young because he has the most experience and has a winning record as a starter. He's not Russell Wilson, but I think he could be coached into being Colin Kaepernick. Young's attitude problems in the past probably kept Seattle away, but I think it's possible he might have grown from the adversity he's faced in recent years. This would be a probable short term arrangement ala Tarvaris Jackson in 2011. Vince Young backs up Wilson for one season, hopefully rehabilitates his career, and Seattle finds a QB in the 2014 draft, which will hopefully have a much deeper class of read option quarterbacks.

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    Sign K Steven Hauschka to a 2 year, $2 million contract. (2013 cap hit: $1 million)

    Seattle needs a kicker. Hauschka has done a good job and isn't expensive. I see no reason to chance things.

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    Sign DT Alan Branch to a 2 year, $5 million contract. (2013 cap hit: $2 million)

    Seattle needs depth for Red Bryant and Brandon Mebane, and they need a big 3-tech for running situations. Branch was essentially an average contributor last season after being a minor star in 2011 (PFF). Jacksonville might make a run at Branch and drive up his price. If not, I'd sign back Branch for a reasonable price.

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    Sign DT Clint Gresham to a 1 year, minimum contract. (2013 cap hit: $0.7 million)

    You gotta have a long snapper.

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    Sign T Frank Omiyale to a 1 year, $1 million contract. (2013 cap hit: $1 million)

    Impressed the crap out of me last year despite being terrible pre-2012. Just the latest in a long line of amazing reclamation projects by line coach Tom Cable.

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    Trade QB Matt Flynn to Cleveland for a 6th round pick. (2013 cap savings: +$7.25 million)

    Flynn's contract and unproven status really hurts his trade value, but Cleveland has made it clear they intend to move on from Brandon Weeden and are sniffing around the likes of Buffalo's Ryan Fitzpatrick and Kansas City's Matt Cassel. I think it's likely they will also show interest in Flynn and Seattle won't say no to a chance to unload Flynn's $15.5 million cap hit over the next two seasons. An early 6th might as well be gold plated in this deep draft class, too.

    Departures: Jason Jones, Marcus Trufant, Leroy Hill, Chris Maragos, Cameron Morrah, Clinton McDonald

    Notes: I would sign Tony Gonzalez if Atlanta decides to "Favre" him by moving on and acquiring his replacement. I don't expect that to happen, but he's a player I'm rooting for to be a Seahawk. I also have us passing on Cullen Jenkins (with the Bryant signing). Finally, I'm saying no to Charles Woodson. There is enough interest in him that I don't think he'd come cheap enough, and I'm not sure where he'd play in our stacked secondary. I'd retain Maragos after the draft if the safety class falls poorly. I'd also trade Red Bryant if any team has serious interest- but I think it's most responsible to draft competition for Bryant and see how he bounces back in 2013. After the 2013 season, none of Bryant's salary is guaranteed.

    Cap impact: The Matt Flynn trade really helps take the bite out of this offseason, and despite handing out 8 new contracts, Seattle's cap number only drops by $6.275 million as a result of this free agency. You'd need to budget in about $4 million more to sign your draft picks. That leaves you with $8.225 million in remaining cap space even after signing the draft picks. That money will roll over to the 2014 cap. Since most of these contracts are short term, Seattle should be in strong cap situation entering the 2014 offseason which will be their first big wave of free agents to retain.

    Having addressed Seattle's biggest needs in free agency, I'm no longer forced to draft certain positions earlier than I might want.

    _________________________________________________________

    The 2013 NFL Draft:

    This is my draft in this specific free agency scenario, not what I think Seattle will actually do. All of these numbers after the 3rd round will change when compensatory picks are announced. Seattle has 3 additional picks from trades plus a 4th extra pick from my proposed Flynn trade (#133 (Curry), #166 (Flynn), #200 (T-Jack), #206 (Rudd) acquired via trades):

    1st round (25th overall): Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame
    2nd round (58th overall): Ryan Swope, WR, Texas A&M
    3rd round (85th overall): John Simon, DT/DE, Ohio State
    4th round (122nd overall): Armonty Bryant, DE, East Central University Athletics
    5th round (133rd overall): Zaviar Gooden, LB, Missouri
    5th round (153rd overall): Denard Robinson, QB/WR/RB/KR, Michigan
    6th round (166th overall): Earl Wolff, S, NC State
    6th round (186th overall): Micah Hyde, CB, Iowa
    7th round (200th overall): Cooper Taylor, S, Richmond
    7th round (206th overall): Courtney Gardner, WR, Sierra College
    7th round (217th overall): Abry Jones, DT, Georgia



    Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame

    Thanks to a strong free agency, I feel that the team's biggest remaining need is upgrading the tight end position. Tyler Eifert isn't just a unanimous 1st round talent at tight end, he's the perfect fit for Seattle. Eifert stands 6'6", 250 lbs. His 4.68 forty time was the 4th fastest among all tight ends. His 35.5" vertical jump was tied for 2nd best. He's built to be a deep threat jump ball machine and it really shows on tape. He's extremely skilled at high pointing the jump ball and has strong hands. A jump ball pass to Eifert is extremely tough to defend on key downs and red zone opportunities.

    A WR/TE hybrid "joker" type player, he's basically everything Seattle hoped they were getting with Evan Moore (and then some). For good measure, Eifert is also one of the better blocking tight ends in this draft and is versatile enough that his presence doesn't telegraph intent. Eifert is a weapon with his jump ball skills and body control. Russell Wilson loves to throw jump ball type passes. Seattle could use an upgrade over the talented but unreliable Anthony McCoy. Eifert would also make Zach Miller expendable if the team decides to approach for a restructure. An Eifert-Miller combo would be very tough to defend, especially with some of the weapons at receiver added this offseason.

    I haven't talked about Eifert a ton on the draft forum, mostly because I doubt Seattle will draft him, but he's one of my favorite options at #25 and I wouldn't hesitate to grab him in the free agency scenario described above.



    Ryan Swope, WR, Texas A&M

    One of my favorite players in this draft. Swope is fast, has quick feet with change of direction ability, has hands that are strong and reliable, is a deep threat, runs extremely sharp routes, knows how to improvise for a mobile QB, is a great blocker and will lay players out if they don't watch themselves. His intangibles are close to Russell Wilson territory and you just get the feeling he's going to continue being very special in the NFL. His competitiveness, personality, and improvisational/quick skillset perfectly matches what Seattle needs in the slot. Swope has the size (6'0", 205) and speed (4.34 forty) to play outside as well.



    John Simon, DT/DE, Ohio State

    Simon will probably be drafted by a 3-4 team looking for a big/slow OLB, but at a playing weight of 270 pounds, I think Simon looks like he could pass mustard as a Jason Jones type DE/DT tweener in the NFL. He is extremely difficult to block with his supreme pass rush repertoire. Reminds me of a miniature JJ Watt or Justin Smith. Simon is a workout warrior and has coaches raving about him much the same way that Wilson did as he was leaving Wisconsin. Some might think he can't play DL in the NFL, but I wouldn't be the guy to tell Simon what he can't do. His work ethic and determination are legendary at Ohio State.

    (horrible music alert)


    Armonty Bryant, DE, East Central University Athletics

    Bryant has fairly major character concerns and came from a division II program, but has the upside of a Jason Pierre Paul or DeMarcus Ware physically, coupled with a highly impressive pass rush repertoire and outstanding core strength. If he played for a major school and didn't have the character concerns, it seems likely to me that he'd be the #1 overall pick this year. Bryant may not have the speed of an ideal LEO, but he can get to the quarterback like few can and may even give Seattle a massive pass rush upgrade if he can manage the 5-tech role.

    When asked about interest from NFL teams, the Seahawks were the first team Bryant mentioned.



    Zaviar Gooden, LB, Missouri

    The fastest linebacker in the draft, Gooden is a natural weakside 4-3 linebacker with 4.46 speed. He excels as a downhill type linebacker similar to Leroy Hill. He has the speed and explosive short area quickness to be a weapon in coverage. Massively underrated, Gooden might have upped his draft stock after a strong combine.



    Denard Robinson, QB/WR/RB/KR, Michigan

    The Michigan QB is one of the best natural athletes in the draft, running a similarly timed (4.43) and similarly smooth 40 time to Tavon Austin (4.34). Robinson is an electric runner with the ball in his hands, and I think it's silly how everyone is overlooking his potential as a change of pace running back. He's a project at WR, but could have high upside there as well as a YAC guy. Best of all, he gives Seattle an heir to Leon Washington as a kick returner.

    (nsfw)


    Earl Wolff, S, NC State

    Wolff needs to polish up his game some, but he is one of the most impressive athletes in this draft. His 40 time and vertical jump were among the best in this safety class. A high risk, high upside player that is the perfect type of depth for Earl Thomas.

    (skrillex)


    Micah Hyde, CB, Iowa

    Like a poor man's Dee Milliner, Micah Hyde is a corner that is simply good at everything. He has some character concerns that don't really mean much to me, but that's the only real knock against a guy that I believe deserves to be a 2nd or 3rd round pick. His situation reminds me a lot of Reshad Jones- one of my favorite DBs in 2010. I had a high 2nd round grade on Jones and was not so happy when Seattle repeatedly passed on him. He ended up being a late 5th round pick by the Dolphins and is now making pro-bowl snub lists as an impact strong safety.

    Hyde has no business lasting this long, but if his place in the pecking order is any indication, he just might be. Hyde is 6'0", 195 pounds and runs in the 4.5's. He'd almost certainly be an upgrade over Jeremy Lane or Byron Maxwell if his game translates.



    Cooper Taylor, S, Richmond

    Taylor is a pretty rare specimen. You don't see very many white DBs. You don't see many 6'4", 220 pound safeties that can run in the 4.5s and play the position like a linebacker. Overlooked from a small school, Taylor is a high upside player that would be excellent competition for Jeron Johnson and Winston Guy in the big nickle 3rd safety slot.



    Courtney Gardner, WR, Sierra College

    With size (6'3", 220), moves and speed on par, or perhaps superior to, top 25 lock Cordarrelle Patterson, Gardner is an ultra high upside player in need of coaching and development.



    Abry Jones, DT, Georgia

    Jones stood out on film while I studied other Georgia Bulldog defenders entering this draft. In his last full season he had 4 sacks and 7 tackles for loss. Jones has the size to play the run well, and I could see him developing into Alan Branch 2.0, potentially allowing Seattle to avoid Branch's $3 million cap hit in 2014 from the contract I've signed him to.
    Last edited by kearly on Sun Mar 10, 2013 4:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:17 am
  • i think that we are assuming that seattle finds a diamond in the ruff in the later rounds becuase that is what has happend in the past. i like the weapons but i think defense is higher on the priority list this year and especially the way last year ended. weak side linebacker and pass rush cannot be overlooked and i think addressing those in the first two rounds is important good pass rushers don't last long and we could potentially have our pick of the best will LB prospect that best fits the seahawks criteria in the second solidifying our front seven especially the final LB position with a high quality player then maybe we give the 9ers a run for best LB core in the league.

    i think seattle has a solid WR core but they need depth and even in the third round there should still be quality weapons for russell with sleeper prospects being pushed up teams boards with the combine and pro day numbers and quality players being pushed down with underwhelming numbers seattle could wind up taking a solid contributer that just had a bad day running.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:37 am
  • Oh my God that draft is perfect

    Good plan all around
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 3:51 am
  • Only one thing with number 6... Josh Portis was released from the practice squad last year and currently plays for the Toronto Argonauts :P

    Love hte draft picks though. I'm high on Swope, Simon, Cooper and Abry (that I think is very underrated and can play the red role as well.. probably cheaper and more effective)
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 4:38 am
  • Omiyale is an OT not DT. I know you know this, just acting as your editor pro bono.

    The amount of time you must put into this stuff is uncanny, kearly.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 4:58 am
  • Flynn to Minn for a 4th though, for 6th to 2nd next year also ?

    Depending on time played and extra bonus stuff ;)


    Could easily see that Vince Young thing as backup too. It fits, if they don't see anyone in the draft, that's avaliable after they get what they really prefer/need.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 5:18 am
  • I like it kearly, but Hauschka won't be back next season at any price that includes $0.02. That dude struggled making 40 yard kicks. 1000% sure!
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 6:42 am
  • How long does it take you to think up/type and assemble these?

    I like reading and considering them.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 7:31 am
  • Chawker wrote:I like it kearly, but Hauschka won't be back next season at any price that includes $0.02. That dude struggled making 40 yard kicks. 1000% sure!


    Really? In his 2 seasons with us, Hauschka is 12 of 13 from 40-49 yards. In fact, in 2 years, he's only missed 3 kicks that weren't from 50+.

    I get that some people don't care for him, but don't start lying to support your position.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 7:48 am
  • Good plan, Mine would be very similar. Only think I might change is my gut tells me that Jordan Reed is the TE we want. He is just a pure football player, He's kind of a cross between Aaron Hendandez and Delani Walker. We could line him up all over the place and he can get open and block. I'm not sure where his draft value is probably a early 3rd but Id be fine if we drafted him in the 2nd. So with the 1st we could either go WR/DE/WLB.

    WR's i'd take in the 1st
    Allen
    Patterson
    Hopkins
    Austin (only if we get Danario)

    DE's id take in the 1st
    Werner
    Carradine
    Datone Jones

    WLB i'd take in the 1st
    Ogletree
    Green (big reach but he'd prove to be solid)
    Brown (another reach but has great speed)
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 8:19 am
  • Excellent write up, Kearly. I shudder to think how long you spent researching.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 8:23 am
  • Love this plan, Kearly. The two draft picks that stand out the most to me: John Simon and Denard Robinson. I'd absolutely LOVE those two on the Seahawks.

    Nice post, well thought-out and, at this point in the offseason, is 100% plausible. Good work my man!
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 8:47 am
  • Those signings would be a dream.

    I'd go about the draft a bit of a different way, but overall it would be a stellar off season.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 9:07 am
  • Good work as usual.

    I'm not sure San Diego wouldnt just match that deal for Alexander, but its worth a shot.

    My adopt a rookie is Denard Robinson. He's a guy i'd be really excited to pick up.

    I know its time but i'll be a bit sad to see Trufant and Hill go. The last two remnants from the Superbowl squad.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 9:16 am
  • I love it. Our offense suddenly becomes down right scary with this offseason. Alexander, Swope, and Eifert give Wilson a down right insane amount of red zone options, which the offense needed badly at times last year. I really like the focus on the offense, the defense is ok just needs a couple pieces but the defense would be even better (with the same players now) if they got to play with a bigger lead more often.

    Unfortunately, my gut says we wouldn't go this "big" in FA. I know in your plan we didn't really spend very much but signing that many contributors via FA just doesn't seem like our FO. Maybe we approach things differently now that we are legit contender and god I hope so.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 9:19 am
  • You had to have put in a crazy amount of time to do this, we very much appreciate it.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 9:27 am
  • Kearly, in Zavier Gooden I see the best athlete that the draft has to offer a WLB. I sometimes worry about his instincts, though. I'm not sure how confident I'd feel with him starting there but I guess we have Malcom Smith as a back up plan.

    What are your thoughts on the roll of the Seahawks WLB? Gooden is excellent in coverage, and would be very good in the nickel, but I see him getting destroyed against the run. He's not very instinctive with his angles and has a hard time block shedding. Sure with the sub 4.5 40 you get speed, but you lose strength required to get to the runner.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 10:32 am
  • I hope to hell if Hauschka leaves all you people bitching about him choke on the bile that is going to come up when we start going through the roulette wheel of kickers that can't play in the clutch, can't make routine kicks consitently and we lose games. So many forget about Josh Brown leaving and us having to find a new kicker. Range is great, he makes his fair share, but this isn't the Kingdome, There are elements that create effects outside in our stadium and Haush seems to have a good handle on most of it. You may not get a kick of 65 yds like the Rams kicker, but then again I doubt he kicks a kick like that outside with a cross wind anyway.

    I don't agree with looking for a Baldwin replacement, I think he's fine if he can get his clavicle put back in place. We need a guy to step in for Sidney if needed more then anything else, this guy you suggest may do that.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 10:44 am
  • Nice job. I like the logic and supporting arguments. While I think Swope may be too close to Golden Tate in the sense he runs a lot of drags, crossers, etc. to get in space, he's a nice player. Would be great in round 3 or perhaps a little higher. I'd rather a guy with size opposite Rice on the outside, but as you said: Danario could address that through FA. I'm going to learn about some of these other prospects for the first time, including Simon and Gooden. Gooden I'm already excited about. I'm not sure what's special that Simon brings, yet, but I'm going to look into it. Retaining Branch would be awesome. Good D-lines need quality rotational guys and we can't get enough pass-rushers and D-linemen in general. Good stuff. Love the read.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 11:04 am
  • I would rather use Denard Robinson as our backup QB than Vince Young.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 11:16 am
  • volsunghawk wrote:
    Chawker wrote:I like it kearly, but Hauschka won't be back next season at any price that includes $0.02. That dude struggled making 40 yard kicks. 1000% sure!


    Really? In his 2 seasons with us, Hauschka is 12 of 13 from 40-49 yards. In fact, in 2 years, he's only missed 3 kicks that weren't from 50+.

    I get that some people don't care for him, but don't start lying to support your position.


    +1

    Wait till the day when we do get a new kicker and he starts missing 30-40 yard kicks...

    We are extremely lucky to have a kicker that is automatic under 50 yards.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 11:16 am
  • Awesome post, the only thing I would say on the draft is the seahawks will not pick up a TE. They will take somebody on the defense or trade down to get more picks. I think Seahawks will pick positions where a rookie can come and make an immediate impact rather than a 2 or 3 year time to develop in the first few rounds. TE and WR positions usually require 1 to 2 years of experience to make an impact. Thats my thought.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 11:39 am
  • I know Danario's knees are questionable, but I still kind of doubt he signs away unrestricted free agency next year to make $3m per.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 12:10 pm
  • Great job, I really appreciate all of your contributiuons. I really like the concept that drafted DE's & DT's will have to come in and compete with the FA you are suggesting, winers start & losers backup.

    I have to admit I have absolutely no understanding of how to evaluate players from small schools. You have 3 such players in your draft (Bryant, Taylor & Gardner). From the highlight tapes all 3 look like NFL players playing their games against a good high school team. These 3 players indeed stand out in these highlight tapes, but how can you tell their games will translate to the NFL? Maybe it's just a case of taking the best players from small schools that look great and crossing your fingers that the picks will work out? Are there any known online sources for small school "game" tapes, to provide more prospect evaluation tools?
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 12:45 pm
  • Really well researched Kearly. I have some video to watch, it's a big help. A wildcard is our Quinn our new D coordinator. I really don't know his thoughts. In the past we have been "build from the back forward" via PC s time in SF under Walsh.

    I don't know if that will change , but the middle was weak against the run as well as pass rush. All the games we lost and big yardage running was up the gut and pretty simple 1-1 and traps. What are Quinn's thoughts? Will be see more FS, SS and corner blitzes like we used to see a few years ago ? We play very vanilla on the D line. Will we see changes in scheme ? Stunts? I see it clearer as the camps open.

    I see the biggest need is DE and DT. I think Seymor is in the mix as a FE. I agree with your choices as our best bet.

    I don't see the TE from Notre Dame available at 25. I have us with Reed.

    I would not be surprised to see them try M Smith. He has great speed and covers well. He does need to work on his run stopping , he tackles too high and his footwork is. To great, he keeps his feet too close and gets knocked around. All can be fixed.

    Vince Young. The issues are not talent. They are his head. I remember when we played against him in '11 I believe he was crying over his play. He seems to be an emotional wreck. If he has his head together and PC sees it I could see it happening. They like restoration projects.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 12:55 pm
  • volsunghawk wrote:
    Chawker wrote:I like it kearly, but Hauschka won't be back next season at any price that includes $0.02. That dude struggled making 40 yard kicks. 1000% sure!


    Really? In his 2 seasons with us, Hauschka is 12 of 13 from 40-49 yards. In fact, in 2 years, he's only missed 3 kicks that weren't from 50+.

    I get that some people don't care for him, but don't start lying to support your position.

    Thanks for the stat volsunghawk cuz when I 1st read Chawker's comment my thought was Haush was solid inside 50, but was challenged from 50+.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:37 pm
  • Am I missing something? Who is our starting Will LB?
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:48 pm
  • Wonderful read. Thanks for all the work. Free agency probably won't yield that
    big of a full net but those are some really good ideas. Thanks also for the video.

    Doggone, I'm not sure I wouldn't go ahead and select Swope in the first. If he
    turns out to be the player I think he will be, I'd sure hate to miss him,
    I would maybe look for Gavin Escobar in the second for our tight end pick.
    If Escobar were not available, maybe Arthur Brown to fill the OLB spot.

    Actually I like this draft overall and am especially happy with the John Simon
    and Denard Robinson picks. Armonty Bryant seems to read plays well too,
    doesn't he?

    Anyway, thanks. I enjoyed that as much as anything I've read in a long time.
    Last edited by two dog on Sun Mar 10, 2013 2:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 2:05 pm
  • Hey Kip. I love the work. Please feel free to check out my situational Hawk Mocks. They represent a lot of hours of film and stats study. I made it a couple of weeks ago and due to guys like You and Rob, I already feel as if its a bit out of date but I still think that it suggests some good scenarios and a good list of likely candidates for various rounds.

    Its at my blog; http://www.addoverflow.blogspot.com

    If you check it out, let me know what you thought.

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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 2:10 pm
  • Misfit74 wrote:Nice job. I like the logic and supporting arguments. While I think Swope may be too close to Golden Tate in the sense he runs a lot of drags, crossers, etc. to get in space, he's a nice player. Would be great in round 3 or perhaps a little higher. I'd rather a guy with size opposite Rice on the outside, but as you said: Danario could address that through FA. I'm going to learn about some of these other prospects for the first time, including Simon and Gooden. Gooden I'm already excited about. I'm not sure what's special that Simon brings, yet, but I'm going to look into it. Retaining Branch would be awesome. Good D-lines need quality rotational guys and we can't get enough pass-rushers and D-linemen in general. Good stuff. Love the read.

    Believe it or not, Swope is faster, a great route runner, and has the ability to snag the ball away from his body ,and super competitive.
    I'm starting to believe that he just may not even make it to #57, ya, he's that good.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 2:12 pm
  • LudwigsDrummer wrote:Am I missing something? Who is our starting Will LB?



    Malcolm Smith or a rookie that beats him out in training camp.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 2:38 pm
  • The 2013 Seahawk offense has the potential to get off to the fastest start of the Pete Carroll era.

    Vince Young can't help the Seahawks or anyone else IMO.

    The only reason he is back on the market is because the money is gone, the debts are significant, he is clueless as to what to do after football and the lawyers are hoping for one more pay day to help mitigate the losses.

    Any club that considers signing Vince Young, would be wise to hold off until after the final cuts so as to carry him as a non guaranteed week to week temp.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 2:49 pm
  • CALIHAWK1 wrote:
    LudwigsDrummer wrote:Am I missing something? Who is our starting Will LB?



    Malcolm Smith or a rookie that beats him out in training camp.

    Thanks.
    I am not yet sold on Malcom as our starting Will LB, but what do I know?

    Not much.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 3:08 pm
  • Dateline, March 12, 2013: In other news from Seahawks headquarters, GM John Schneider announced that the team has signed K. Early to a 3-year futures contract as a front office consultant. The team released a video of a special edition "Real Rob Report" with fullback Michael Robinson interviewing Mr. Early, discussing the team's draft board, this year's Nittany Lion prospects, and concluding with Robinson proclaiming, "Dude's got serious FO skills!".

    Dateline, April 28, 2013: Seahawks GM John Schneider, interviewed by Q13 Fox, discussed the teams 2013 draft. Schneider and coach Pete Carroll were observed numerous times during the draft giving each other high five's, and at one point, apparently a leaping chest bump after the Seahawks picked up 2nd rounder Ryan Swope of Texas A&M. Schneider indicated that Coach Carroll's knee surgery is scheduled for Wednesday and that Carroll would lose only minimal coaching time. The Seahawks draft of Tyler Eifert, Ryan Swope, John Simon, Armonty Bryant, Zavier Gooden, Denard Robinson, Earl Wolff and Micah Hyde was widely panned by draft experts, with Mel Kiper declaring that the Seahawks had reached on several picks, and simply did not get good value out of the draft. With Cee Lo Green playing in the background, Carroll responded to the draft pundits criticism by saying, "well, of course, they're the experts, but we did what we felt we had to do to get our team to the next level, and we're very excited about this draft class."

    Love the Eifert & Swope picks. Our QB becomes ever more DANGERRuss!! Eifert can flat go up and get the ball. A good match for Wilson. Also love the Swope pick. Like a faster Steve Largent or Wes Welker.
    Last edited by olyfan63 on Sun Mar 10, 2013 5:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 3:12 pm
  • great write up Kearly! like some others have said i dont think we do as much in FA but if we do actually bag the two FA D-line guys you pointed out we could still be in position to go after those offensive weapons in the early rounds
    and i LOVE the prospect of Robinson being a Seahawk!!!
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 3:34 pm
  • kearly wrote:Normally I do these in January, but I decided to wait for the eve of free agency this year to add a greater sense of plausibility. I should warn you that these tend to be on the optimistic extreme of realistic. Not everything I'm suggesting might actually be possible.

    _________________________________________________________

    Goals:

    #1: Diversify and improve the pass rush

    #2: Add a clutch receiver that knows how to improvise, preferably someone that can play anywhere but shines the most in the slot (Doug Baldwin's spot).

    #3: Solidify the weakside linebacker position

    #4: Find a 3rd tight end or upgrade on Anthony McCoy for a deadly TE trio.

    #5: Continue to churn talent in the secondary.

    #6: Find a low cost read option capable backup quarterback to compete with Josh Portis

    #7: Save money for future seasons and avoid massive long term contracts.

    _________________________________________________________

    Free Agency:

    Cap space: $18.5 million (estimated). Includes $12.5 million in rollover cash.



    Reflecting on club remarks with regard to the Seahawk's cap ........

    As I recall ....... the generally accepted guide line for maximum allowable dead cap write off is 10% of the league cap number. That would be $12.3 million thru the completion of 2013. Teams that exceed that maximum pay a heavy price >>> see Oakland Raiders at $17.5 million and rising.

    If I understood John Idzik correctly before his departure to New York, the targeted rollover cash the Seahawks aim to carry over into the next year (as a cap cushion) is also 10% of league cap which would be $12.3 million.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 4:05 pm
  • bestfightstory wrote:Omiyale is an OT not DT. I know you know this, just acting as your editor pro bono.

    The amount of time you must put into this stuff is uncanny, kearly.


    Fixed. I will probably miss a thing or two during a 3100+ word proofread. Thanks for the heads up. And yes, it was very time consuming.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 4:06 pm
  • Largent80 wrote:How long does it take you to think up/type and assemble these?

    I like reading and considering them.


    The one I did last year was about 36 hours. This year I was more informed about the draft and free agency so it only took about 12.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 4:09 pm
  • lukerguy wrote:Kearly, in Zavier Gooden I see the best athlete that the draft has to offer a WLB. I sometimes worry about his instincts, though. I'm not sure how confident I'd feel with him starting there but I guess we have Malcom Smith as a back up plan.

    What are your thoughts on the roll of the Seahawks WLB? Gooden is excellent in coverage, and would be very good in the nickel, but I see him getting destroyed against the run. He's not very instinctive with his angles and has a hard time block shedding. Sure with the sub 4.5 40 you get speed, but you lose strength required to get to the runner.


    I have the same concerns, but maybe he can be coached up. I don't think instincts are his problem, I think he fails to break down and execute. He knows where the ball is going, he just sometimes screws up when finishing a play.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 4:12 pm
  • Hawken-Dazs wrote:I would rather use Denard Robinson as our backup QB than Vince Young.


    He's have to learn QB, RB, and WR all at the same time. I'd rather not go down that road. That plus he's not an NFL QB. He's the same height as Wilson without the special things that made Wilson overcome it. He's also inaccurate, etc, etc, etc. Not a QB.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 4:16 pm
  • pinksheets wrote:I know Danario's knees are questionable, but I still kind of doubt he signs away unrestricted free agency next year to make $3m per.


    They could have had him for 1 year $2 million (that's the 2nd round RFA tender number) but they passed for the equivalent of a cheaper transition tag. If SD knew what they had on their hands they would not have placed this tender on him. The deal I proposed also contains $6 million guaranteed for a health risk player. And as said, poison pilling is an option on the table (that's how the Patriots got Welker), though I personally would not use it. I tried to construct a deal that I am reasonably sure San Diego's new GM would probably say no to. In fact, I think he'd say no to a much smaller deal than that. His actions indicate that he undervalues Alexander. He was not with the team last season when Alexander was breaking out.

    I'm also fine with not getting Alexander. I'd just draft a little differently, maybe getting Mark Harrison in round 5 or round 6.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 4:21 pm
  • CamanoIslandJQ wrote:Great job, I really appreciate all of your contributiuons. I really like the concept that drafted DE's & DT's will have to come in and compete with the FA you are suggesting, winers start & losers backup.

    I have to admit I have absolutely no understanding of how to evaluate players from small schools. You have 3 such players in your draft (Bryant, Taylor & Gardner). From the highlight tapes all 3 look like NFL players playing their games against a good high school team. These 3 players indeed stand out in these highlight tapes, but how can you tell their games will translate to the NFL? Maybe it's just a case of taking the best players from small schools that look great and crossing your fingers that the picks will work out? Are there any known online sources for small school "game" tapes, to provide more prospect evaluation tools?


    If a player has obvious elite NFL tools, I tend to assume he wasn't just getting by from weaker competition. When you see a Jerry Rice (Mississippi Valley St.) or a Jared Allen (Idaho St.) in a given draft from a tiny school, you shouldn't over-think things.

    And as someone who actually played in DII, I can tell you those guys aren't high school level. Not even close. Much closer to Div 1 level than HS. That plus it seems a recent surge in small school players breaking into the NFL indicates the level has risen even more since I played.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 4:33 pm
  • I like it Kearly but regarding the Cleveland trade, since they just got rid of Cribbs, would offering Leon Washington as well as Flynn get us a better deal? They have the cap room to take a shot IMO. If we can move the ball with Wilson's new receiving weapons, field position becomes a luxury. Let Denard Robinson take over, pay for a capable FA 3rd down back (Woodhead from NE comes to mind), and save more cap.

    I noticed you were nice with Clemons, but Irvin isn't a total bust, Abraham would be a better teacher, and Simon and Bryant from the draft seem to put the writing on the wall for him. Weighing his cap hit with someone like Abraham and the draft DE's, I don't think he makes it if the team feels he'll be on the PUP for a significant amount of time. This could make a better lure for Abraham possible, as well as incentive to perform well.

    1 last thing if we bring in 2 WRs that I just can't see keeping on the sidelines, and a TE like Eiffert that would be awesome in a double set with Miller, leading to more 2 TE formations which I'd love, there's certain to be a shakeup among Rice, Tate, and Baldwin.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 4:41 pm
  • I wish I hadn't read this, because now I'll be disappointed with whatever *does* happen.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 4:43 pm
  • kearly wrote: And as said, poison pilling is an option on the table (that's how the Patriots got Welker)



    Actually, this is incorrect. I am on my phone right now, so I will post a link when I get a chance. Patriots considered using the poison pill, but after the reception the Hutch contract had, they worked out a trade with Miami instead. The compensation was just a bit above what his tender level was originally, if I recall correctly.

    edit: http://m.espn.go.com/nfl/story?storyId= ... rc=desktop
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 5:39 pm
  • Interesting the Patriots gave up that much, a 2nd and a 7th for Welker... he's been worth it, but he sat on the bench a lot before having one good season, and then parlayed that into a nice contract, $18 mil with $9 mil guaranteed.
    Maybe it's the bit we've all discussed about how it takes a couple seasons for a WR to catch onto the NFL game, like what we've seen here with Tate. (Same comment about DE's)
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 6:35 pm
  • I would love that offseason!
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Sun Mar 10, 2013 7:22 pm
  • I would love to get Desmond Bryant at 5/25, but to be honest, I have written him off since day one of the offseason, even after his arrest. Some team is going to give him at least 30-35M to come play for them, and it won't be our team.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Mon Mar 11, 2013 5:14 am
  • Smelly McUgly wrote:I would love to get Desmond Bryant at 5/25, but to be honest, I have written him off since day one of the offseason, even after his arrest. Some team is going to give him at least 30-35M to come play for them, and it won't be our team.

    Some sources with NFL ties have been saying he is perfect for the Hawks at 5-6 million per. Seeing as they gave Jason Jones that for a single year, I don't see why they wouldn't. Besides, we need to pay more attention to Kip's guaranteed number than the overall value of the deal. Follow the real money.
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Re: Kearly's 2013 offseason plan
Mon Mar 11, 2013 2:48 pm
  • So...do we still want a Danario Alexander?
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