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What's the NFL future of the read option?
In 7 years most teams will be running it. 10%  10%  [ 6 ]
In 7 years a handful of teams will be running it, just like now. 69%  69%  [ 42 ]
In 7 years nobody will be running it. 21%  21%  [ 13 ]
Total votes : 61
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 Post subject: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:18 pm 
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Do you think the NFL will continue to evolve into more of a read option league with more and more mobile quarterbacks? Or is it a short term trend which will eventually be shut down once opposing defensive coordinators figure it out like the wildcat?

Personally I think its here to stay and will become a bigger and bigger part of the league over the next decade plus. A vast majority of high schools are playing spread/read option type offenses these days, and more and more colleges are going to it so more prospects are coming into the NFL perfectly suited for this style of play.

I think teams like the Panthers, 49ers, Redskins, and now the Seahawks are starting the future of the NFL. Personally, I love it. I think its the most entertaining style of football there is. Even though I hate the 49ers I love watching their offense. And the Seahawks offensive philosophies the last couple months have been my favorite in our history. I especially love it when you combine the read option with a smash mouth philosophy such as ours.

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:20 pm 
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It is the immediate future. It will be all but extinct 7 years from now.

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:21 pm 
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bestfightstory wrote:
It is the immediate future. It will be all but extinct 7 years from now.


Why? Because defenses learn to shut it down? Because too many Qb's get injured? Why do you think that?

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:23 pm 
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JSeahawks wrote:
bestfightstory wrote:
It is the immediate future. It will be all but extinct 7 years from now.


Why? Because defenses learn to shut it down? Because too many Qb's get injured? Why do you think that?



Haven't given it too much thought. Just a rough estimate of the life expectancy of a trend and the counter-adaptation that will render it a gimmick.

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:25 pm 
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I agree J, when your starters start getting RG3'd you quit risking them. I also think it will bring about a change on defense at least short term. Guys will need to be quicker and faster so may get smaller again to cope with fatigue and more running and pursuit.

As we have seen it takes a lot out of a defense to chase a mobile QB.

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:25 pm 
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Eventually all thing come full circle.
Who knows when but I believe we will eventually see teams line up 1 on 1 and say this what I've got, just try to stop me.


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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:25 pm 
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It's slightly more sustainable than the wildcat imo. DC's will start scheming for it and shutting it down. Hell, Pete already knows how to shut it down. Like Russell says; its our change up. When we see something exploitable we'll pull it out, but it's not who we are. Teams like Washington who live and die by it won't have long term success with it.

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:26 pm 
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The way I see it there's two trains of thought

1. It's gimmicky similar to the wildcat, it's a crutch for offenses without an elite passing game, or unpolished passing qbs.

2. It's an evolution of the game due to the presences of greater athletes at the qb position, longer/more training camps for youth and more practice running it before entering the league.

It's really hard for me to decide what it is, it's obviously not sustainable by QBs over the long haul (vick, rg3, steve young etc), this leads me to believe it's more of a gimmick thing. Other other side of me thinks if Tom Brady ran a 4.4 bellicheck would have been doing this for years. For one reason or another we're seeing better athletes at the QB position, and the read option obviously adds another element to the offense, I see it as a great tool to ease a new qb in to the system/league/wingames, however I think it needs to be abandoned after a QB has matured, and then should be used sparingly (similar to rodgers), Caep is going to get murdered if he runs that much, same as rg3, same as wilson if he keeps it up.

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:28 pm 
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Injuries will be it's undoing. They're inevitable, and teams will be loathe to invest $15m/yr at the position and then have him run 100-150 times a season.

If I were a DC, my game plan would involve blowing up the QB every time the play is run. You're unlikely to get penalized due to the deception, and the play will eventually stop being called.


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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:30 pm 
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Maybe not as a base offense but it will be in the toolbox as concepts really invalidate high priced DE's and teams with good defenses struggle with it, especially passing formations out of the pistol and zone-read.

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:32 pm 
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drrew wrote:
Injuries will be it's undoing. They're inevitable, and teams will be loathe to invest $15m/yr at the position and then have him run 100-150 times a season.

If I were a DC, my game plan would involve blowing up the QB every time the play is run. You're unlikely to get penalized due to the deception, and the play will eventually stop being called.



I've wondered about that too! Put a hat on the QB every single time.

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:33 pm 
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Staubach ran a lot, he suffered a lot of concussions, it wasn't called the read option but it kinda was.

Young QB's are on the cheap really, problem is keeping the good ones healthy for a long career, at 32 he will have the mileage of a RB, being hit almost every play running and passing.

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:33 pm 
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I think the wildcat was unsuccessful because most of the players who would be running it couldn't throw well. The reason why those teams you listed are doing well is because they have a QB that can throw accurately and run. That's been a pretty rare skillset. But maybe it's just been rare because NFL personnel haven't been willing to take that leap.

It'll be interesting to see what happens when guys like Wilson and Kaep get big contracts. I think overtime Wilson and Kaep will run less and less of the option as they progress.

There's so much easy yardage using the option and you can leave good players unblocked.


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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:39 pm 
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You have to have a QB with the wheels to make it work. Not every qb is mobile enough to be effective. The teams using it effectively have a guy who can run and throw accurately. Sounds simple enough, doesn't it.

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:52 pm 
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It will be here to stay and is completely different than the wildcat.

You can run the RB or QB from the read option you can go right and you can go left. You can fake the read option and go short / long pass. Everything that is a normal part of football can still be done from the read option.

Wildcat is basically a spread run play going one way. The defense can commit and you can lay way more hits in the qb from straight ahead full speed.

Teams will limit the qb runs, limit the exposure and teach qb's to slide but it will always force the defense not to cheat and limit their ability to double team etc down the field


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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 11:00 pm 
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Who knows, but it really does depend on if the NFL keeps nerfing the game with systematic rule changes. They wan't high scores and no injuries, so that agenda will steer the league in whatever direction the owners want it to go in.

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 11:02 pm 
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So were gonna have a 7 on 7 team in the future?

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 11:05 pm 
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You have to be able to throw the ball AND run the ball for a read option to work. A few more QBs can get away from it because the defenders are slow and react just as slow. You get to the NFL you need a special kid to be able to run it. Kaepernick is on the cusp of being good, but I wouldn't read anything into this game vs. GB. GB is horrid against the run and slow reacting.

The read option is a viable NFL system, but you need a LOT of talent for it to work. So I think it will exist still, but it will never be universally adopted.

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sun Jan 13, 2013 12:33 am 
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I don't think the system will ever take a strong hold. Teams who use it exclusively will be defended at this level pretty quickly. But I expect it to be a huge part of some offenses, you can see the athletes playing QB at every level getting better at a pretty high rate.


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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sun Jan 13, 2013 2:44 am 
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Russell has the perfect build for the zone read.
During the season, you use it and don't get hit. No matter what.
During the playoffs, all bets are off.

Its a part of an offense. Not an entire offense.

To me, the zone read will be around but only for the QB's that have the tools around them.
A power back like Marshawn is the perfect fit for making it successful.

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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sun Jan 13, 2013 3:20 am 
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Option 1, at least by my definition. In 7 years I expect most teams to have mobile QBs, and most of those offenses will incorporate read option wrinkles in their game plan. I don't think we'll see a ton of pure read option offenses, but we will see a ton of teams ripping off Seattle's style of offense. The read option is not the wildcat, it is a way of stretching defenses even thinner while keeping a franchise QB on the field. It turns a double threat offense into a triple threat. It's not going anywhere, and it will likely force zone defense to become fairly prevalent in the league (and zone defenses tend to give up a ton of yards).

We are entering a golden age for offense. Colin Kaepernick broke records on Green Bay tonight, and it's not because Kaepernick is an all universe QB. It's because this new triple threat style of offense can make even good defenses look like garbage if they are not perfectly prepared for it.


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 Post subject: Re: Is the read option the future of the NFL?
 Post Posted: Sun Jan 13, 2013 6:41 am 
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I don't think everyone will be running it in 7 years, you need a QB with sub 4.6 speed for it to work really, and they don't just grow on trees, I'd say that every team that has a QB that can run it will run it, but QBs like Ryan, Flacco, Roethlisberger, Eli Manning and Rodgers will still be around and still winning games (well, except Roethlisberger hahahahaha chump), so it won't totally take over the league


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