Week 17 - Pick your poison

Here are the spreads for this weeks games:

UPDATE 12-26: Odds set for Bears/Packers now, Packers favored by 3.


Using BETONLINE.ag odds from this page

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/odds


Week 16 "Who's the man!":
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Week 16 "I need more cowbell!":
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Scoring change. Win and cover misses now changed to (-2 pts) just like missed beat the spread. Too punitive in old format.

This Week's "Who's the man!":
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This Week's "I need more cowbell!":
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Points calculations
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Pick Total
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Pick underdog outright winner - 2 pts
Pick underdog spread winner - 1 pt
Pick favored cover winner - 0.5
Pick favored outright winner - 0.25

Miss underdog outright winner - (-1 pt)
Miss underdog spread - (-2 pts)
Miss favored cover - (-2 pts)
Miss favored winner - (-2 pts)

Scale Factor (used as multiplier of Pick Total)
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1 -4 picks = use multiplier of 1 times total value
5 -8 picks = 0.75 (if positive) or 1.25 (if negative)
9-12 picks = 0.50 (if positive) or 1.50 (if negative)
13-16 picks = 0.25 (if positive) or 1.75 (if negative)

To help me out, I suggest we use the following to annotate what type of picks you are putting in:

[bts] - Underdog beating the spread
[upset] - Underdog winning out right
[cover] - Favored team covering the spread
[win] - Favored team winning

God, I have to do better than the last couple of weeks, so here goes.

Cover: Ravens, Chiefs, Bucs, Jags

BTS: Lions, Cowboys

Here are my picks:

[bts] Jaguars, Bucs, Rams, Raiders
[upset] 9ers, Lions, Ravens, Cowboys

drdiags":2rj2j0qt said:

OkieHawk":2rj2j0qt said:

God, I have to do better than the last couple of weeks, so here goes.

Cover: Ravens, Chiefs, Bucs, Jags

BTS: Lions, Cowboys

Click to expand...

Since all 6 of these guys are underdogs is one of the two categories "upset" instead of "Beat the spread" or "Favor to cover"? Right now this looks like you are picking all 6 underdogs to beat or cover the spread so not sure if you want 6 to "BTS" or 2 to "BTS" and 4 to "Upset".

Click to expand...

Man, this wasn't as difficult last week :lol:

Change the BTS to upset, the other 4 should be ok...?

Removed

After last week's debacle I should be banned Doc.

KCHawkGirl":uxtyrmld said:

After last week's debacle I should be banned Doc.

Click to expand...

Just think if you had hit them though. I am going to stretch out a little this week and see if I can beat the house. Doubt it, but it's only virtual cash. I still think picking a favored team has no upside, so I am sticking with under-dogs beating the spread or pulling the upset.

I actually did better than I thought (I didn't look before I posted that).I have no idea how this thing (your point system) works anyway so I am just having fun and taking risks that I wouldn't if actually betting money.

I will do my Captain Insano picks later this week.

Underdog Covers: Jets, Texans, Jaguars, Rams

Underdog Outrights: Lions, Bucs, Cowboys, 9ers

Going crazy this week.

[bts] - Texans, Falcons, Jaguars, Chiefs, Bucs
[upset] - Lions, 49ers

Underdogs to beat the spread:
Falcons
Ravens
Rams

Underdogs to win outright:
Lions
Chiefs
49ers

Here go my picks:

Panthers--cover
Jags--beat the spread
Seahawks--win (not necessarily cover)
Broncos--cover
Saints (at home)--cover
Eagles--cover
49ners--win outright

-Polaris

Picks

"Who's the Man!"

OkieHawk (6) [bts] Ravens, Chiefs, Bucs, Jags
[upset] Lions, Cowboys

DrDiags (8) [bts] Jaguars, Bucs, Rams, Raiders
[upset] 9ers, Lions, Ravens, Cowboys

SonicHawk (8) [bts] Jets, Texans, Jaguars, Rams
[upset] Lions, Bucs, Cowboys, 9ers

RolandDeschain (7) [bts] - Texans, Falcons, Jaguars, Chiefs, Bucs
[upset] - Lions, 49ers

AbsolutNET (6) [bts] Falcons, Ravens, Rams
[upset] Lions, Chiefs, 49ers

Click to expand...

"I need more cowbell!"

Polaris (8) [bts] Jaguars
[upset] 49ers,
[cover] Eagles, Saints, Panthers, Packers
[win] Seahawks

KCHawkGirl (3) [bts] Chiefs
[cover] Seahawks
[win] Washington

hawksfansinceday1 (6) [bts] Rams, Chiefs, Texans
[upset] 9ers
[cover] Panthers, Eagles

Click to expand...

Given your latest update, I'd like to add one more if I could:

Packers COVER over the Bears.

OK, ringing the cowbell (LOL) for:

Underdogs to win outright: 9ers (cuz NO will get way ahead of TB and Cards will lose edge and thus effort)

Underdogs to cover: Rams, Chiefs (cuz SD will be out by the time the game starts after Phins victory), Texans

Favs to cover: Panthers, Eagles

Chiefs to beat the spread Seahawks to cover. Washington to win.

Jaguars, Raiders to beat the spread. 49ers to win.

And Philadelphia to cover (my post edits aren't being shown for some reason).

Picks

"Who's the Man!"

OkieHawk (6) [bts] Ravens, Chiefs, Bucs, Jags
[upset] Lions, Cowboys

DrDiags (8) [bts] Jaguars, Bucs, Rams, Raiders
[upset] 9ers, Lions, Ravens, Cowboys

SonicHawk (8) [bts] Jets, Texans, Jaguars, Rams
[upset] Lions, Bucs, Cowboys, 9ers

RolandDeschain (7) [bts] - Texans, Falcons, Jaguars, Chiefs, Bucs
[upset] - Lions, 49ers

AbsolutNET (6) [bts] Falcons, Ravens, Rams
[upset] Lions, Chiefs, 49ers

Click to expand...

"I need more cowbell!"

Polaris (8) [bts] Jaguars
[upset] 49ers,
[cover] Eagles, Saints, Panthers, Packers
[win] Seahawks


KCHawkGirl (7) [bts] Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders
[upset] 49ers
[cover] Seahawks, Eagles
[win] Washington

hawksfansinceday1 (6) [bts] Rams, Chiefs, Texans
[upset] 9ers
[cover] Panthers, Eagles

Click to expand...