Yeah, I'm in the camp that Harvin will likely see limited targets and I would be surprised to see any Seahawks WR surpass 800 yards. Too many weapons with a QB that spreads the ball around in a rush-heavy offense. But I do see several WRs with 5-10 TDs. Scoring wins games
Harvin's influence or his value isn't going to be precedent on his production, I don't think the Seahawks care one bit if Harvin doesn't get the prototypical 1000+ yards, 7+ TDs qualifers you'd want in a #1 guy or #2 guy on some teams.
The importance of Harvin's value:
1. Will Harvin's influence open up things the offense in general? (Without Wilson improvisation, the Seahawks struggled to separate and get open, particularly in the short to intermediate passing game. Harvin's influence in this regard is tremendous, last year, in only 9 games, Harvin had 677 yards on 62 catches/85 targets for a paltry 10.9 yards per catch clip. However, what some people fail to realize is of that 10.9 average, 8.9 of those yards was yards after the catch. Simply, on average Harvin’s staring position after the catch was a mere 2 yards after scrimmage. 10.9 average is enough to get first downs and move the chains... 36 of Harvin’s 62 catches went for first downs… 58% if you will or once every 1.72 catches. Harvin’s influence in the short to intermediate game and what it means for an offense that lacked in this particular area is going to be tremendous
2ndly, in this aspect… is the Harvin influence on Marshawn Lynch. Statistically, Lynch saw more 8-man boxes than any other RB. For Lynch to be as productive as he was especially through all the O-line changes easily makes him the 2nd best RB behind Peterson last year, sorry Alfred Morris. For the same reasons I explain below, Harvin will also open up plenty of opportunity for Lynch to be more productive. No way defenses will be able to handle all of what the Seahawks can put on the table… just too many weapons and at least 3 of them are catastrophic at doing damage after contact in Lynch, Tate, and Harvin)
2. Will Harvin’s influence open up things for other WRs? (This goes without question, Harvin is a talent that needs to be accounted for, as I proved above he can take what little he gets and then use his own ability to be productive. Teams understand this, Harvin is undeniable talent that can strike like lightning and flash away… To control Harvin’s influence teams will likely leave Rice, Tate, Baldwin, Miller and Co. in very favorable, winnable matchups. They are all receivers who don’t necessary excel at gaining separation but effective at winning the ball in one on one situations. Harvin’s influence will open up a lot of opportunity for the Seahawks’ offense that otherwise wouldn’t be there without having the type of player Harvin brings to the table.)
3. What does Harvin’s influence do to the Defense side of things? (Like I theorized in a different thread, there is almost a direct correlation of success going both ways between competition that is Percy Harvin the Ball-Carrier and Antoine Winfield the Defender. Their competition in practice made both players better, Harvin likely kept Winfield young in many ways and the type of explosive player Harvin is probably led to instant success when the Vikings moved Winfield to slot corner. Vice Versa, with Winfield being one of the best run defending and tackling CBs in the game gave Harvin the daily opportunity to transcend into one of the best in the game at becoming slippery, anticipating tackles, and breaking them. Whether you guys can agree with that is up to you, but Harvin’s influence plus Winfield’s guidance plus experience should vastly improve the very few weaknesses Seahawk’s defense had last season particularly against smaller, quicker players (Slot WRs, Smaller RBs) and Nickel Defense. Harvin is a player that will help the defense prepare for the Tavon Austins, Randall Cobbs, Wes Welkers, Danny Amendolas, the Reggie Bush and so forth.
In this aspect, one of the reasons why the Seahawks did draft WR Chris Harper with a 4th round pick is because the 49ers traded for Anquan Boldin. None of the other current Seahawks WRs other than Phil Bates are Boldin-esque. Preparation is in the separation. Win your Division and you’re in the post-season. So while to some Harper looked like a luxury project player, however, in a matter of words, I just realized an important role, immediate purpose. Not just with Boldin, either, but with big, physical, and athletic WRs in general. With Harvin, Harper, and Luke Willson in the mix, the Seahawk’s defense now can prepare for anything this league can throw at them and they’ll be more than ready for it.
4. And the final slice pie of the Harvin influence is Special Teams. Harvin’s job most likely isn’t to be ultra-productive individually but to ensure the Seahawks’ are efficiently productive as possible as an offense. Remember, scoring points not yards is what wins games in the end. On offense, Harvin’s success will be correlated with team success, however, on special teams, Harvin has big shoes to fill as his arrival, led to Leon Washington’s departure. Statistically, Harvin in his limited Return opps, Harvin has been absolutely electrifying, easily one of the best in the NFL in the last 4 years. The real question is can he survive an increased workload. And despite his injury history I believe he can because, he won’t see as many opportunities in our spread offense as he did with the Vikings. His bread and butter statistically will be felt on Special Teams, and he’s certainly a player with the dynamic to “tilt the field” in every way possible.
Last edited by Pandion Haliaetus
on Thu Jun 13, 2013 10:47 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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