Ad Hawk wrote:
These things are always interesting to look at but ultimately make no sense much like power rankings.
I agree. It's just something to do in the off season when there isn't any football going on. Hindsight is always 20/20. The real key for great coaches is to have that 20/20 *foresight*.
I think there are lessons to be learned for the future from hindsight, such as: what are the characteristics of players that ultimately became higher-quality starters than projected based on what round they were taken?
Pete and John have already shown great--not omniscient, but uncanny--ability to spot "functional" talent and work ethic. I would bet they learn from the draft picks that didn't work out as well as those that have.
Experience is a big factor in *foresight* I do agree.
But a bigger predictor in my opinion is a coach's knowledge of the game. (of which experience is a subset of said knowledge) So when I say knowledge, I mean all the little tricks of the trade, the ability to grasp the nuances of half time adjustments and the like.
The final part of doing well is simply who you know. So - on top of *what* a coach knows, also an important aspect of getting info on a draft pick (for example) is *who* you know. I.e. do you know the coach's RB coach that can give you a better idea of the RB situation, or perhaps the offensive coordinator who actually worked with the QB you are thinking of drafting. etc...