Lady Talon wrote:I don't see our defensive dominance holding up like it did last year.
If our offense indeed explodes, and I think it will, our backups will be in the game and allowing some garbage time scores. Moreover, our run first philosophy is likely to decrease with the emergence of Wilson and the Harvin trade, not to mention PC going on record as saying we're going to pass more. For every quick score that gives our defense a lead, it also puts them on the field more often and in this pass happy league, even the stoutest of secondaries can be challenged.
Actually, this is exactly what happened in the last 10 games and Seattle's points allowed actually dropped. Even in blowouts our team generally keeps mostly starters in on both sides with just a few exceptions (QB, RB). Forcing defenses to go one dimensional is usually a very good thing. As far as scoring goes, a slim majority of Seattle's scoring last year occurred in the 2nd half of games. Even in their blowout wins over Arizona, SF, and Buffalo, they still scored a lot of points in the second half because their ball control offense is so good, it actually finishes those clock killing drives for points much more than most teams would.
Yeah being able to make the opposition pass happy would help our sack total and turnovers. You don't need to have the premier D in the league yardage wise to win the division or championship just tough, opportunistic, and augmented with a potent offense to give them leads. Thousand ways to skin a cat.
Thankfully we still have Lynch and the Turbine to run an efficient standard ball control offense. Definately gives us an edge at slowing down the tempo late in the game. I just hope PC makes an effort to keep the Beast well under 300 carries this year, he's approaching the dreaded 30 for a power runner after all.
Figured I'd add this in, I don't exactly count the Buff and Ari wins as a sign of lasting dominance. Buffalo had a penchant for being blown out to the likes of SF, NE and even NYJ if I remember right. Arizona was clearly struggling with any team they faced at that point in the season featuring bad QBs and an OL that was believe it or not even worse.
The SF win is the only quality win in that 150 point stretch. And it's a win that I believe was time specific. We caught them at home, with an easily rattled QB with exploitable tendencies that our defense was primed to take advantage of, they're a division rival meaning we know them well, the emotion of the game, and we were in a fight for the division/playoffs.
I doubt that that lopsided of a score will be reproduced again next year against SF, although I think we will sweep.
I understand the thinking, but two bottom feeders and a high emotion game at the right time, isn't something we can count on to enlighten us on next season. I think we'll be good, I think our DVOA stats will be #1 for the year, but I think 150-30 3 game stretches are the exception rather then the norm. I see regularly winning by 2 or 3 scores if everything falls together.