Aros' Fearless Prediction Thread (Angry Birds @ Dirty Birds)

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  • Detroit part Deuce. 28-24L

    We shut down their big guns in White/Jones but get eaten alive by Douglas and Quiz on the slants and screens. Russell plays well but has one big misque throwing a pick to Samuel.

    I hate myself but I'm a betting man and right now my money would be on the Falcons. Everybody is on the Seahawks jock and are way over playing ATL's quick playoffs outs in the past. They are a different team and any mistakes will cost us. If we play a flawless game we can overcome but the odds are against us.


    Please be wrong, please be wrong..... FYI I last time I picked against us was vs the Jets, I was a week early on the letdown to a bad team, but I did sense the letdown. Hopefully I'm a week early again.
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  • lol, sum you guys are funny, "the 10am wake up call is going to hurt them"

    you guys forget what its like to be 24? this is a young team, kids now days can party till the wee hours get up and go to work just to do it all over again, its like that till your 35 or so..

    pretty sure they will be fresh and ready to rumble, man... they have early work schedules here as well... 8)
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  • odds are still at -2.5 Atl... that should tell you something?
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  • Aros wrote:The 10am Factor, and all that travel time the past few weeks is another giant factor in my prediction... I would feel a bit more confident if this was a 1pm Eastern game.



    In terms of the kickoff time, the Seahawks and Redskins kicked off at 1:30. last weekend, the normal start time games in Seattle. The Seahawks finished 8-0 at home, but were just 4-5 on the road this season. But only one win, Chicago, came with the 10 a.m. kickoff time. In fact, the overtime victory over the Bears was the Seahawks' lone 10 a.m. win in the last five seasons.
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  • AirForceSeahawk wrote:
    Aros wrote:The 10am Factor, and all that travel time the past few weeks is another giant factor in my prediction... I would feel a bit more confident if this was a 1pm Eastern game.



    In terms of the kickoff time, the Seahawks and Redskins kicked off at 1:30. last weekend, the normal start time games in Seattle. The Seahawks finished 8-0 at home, but were just 4-5 on the road this season. But only one win, Chicago, came with the 10 a.m. kickoff time. In fact, the overtime victory over the Bears was the Seahawks' lone 10 a.m. win in the last five seasons.


    They beat Chicago and the Giants last year with 10 am start times. The 10 am thing isn't as much of an issue with this current team.
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  • AirForceSeahawk wrote:
    Aros wrote:The 10am Factor, and all that travel time the past few weeks is another giant factor in my prediction... I would feel a bit more confident if this was a 1pm Eastern game.



    In terms of the kickoff time, the Seahawks and Redskins kicked off at 1:30. last weekend, the normal start time games in Seattle. The Seahawks finished 8-0 at home, but were just 4-5 on the road this season. But only one win, Chicago, came with the 10 a.m. kickoff time. In fact, the overtime victory over the Bears was the Seahawks' lone 10 a.m. win in the last five seasons.


    Wrong.. we beat the Rams at STL in 08 and 09 at a 10am PST kickoff..
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  • Howdy Seahawk nation!
    You know I had to throw in my .02 cents in on this game.
    Chawker spot on prediction.
    Seahawks 31
    Falcons 23
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  • I just don't see our D giving up more than 3 touchdowns, given how we've held everyone save for Detroit and Miami to two TD's or less. Make Houshka's leg irrelevant by converting in the red zone.

    SEA 34
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  • 31-20 Hawks
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  • I've been struggling with this all week. In the end, I have a bad feeling the our team's pass rush issues will be their undoing. I keep flashing back to visions of their offense moving down the field with the game's last posession and scoring to win it in the end because Ryan sits in the pocket without pressure and picks apart the Hawks' defense. Of course I sincerely hope to be wrong.

    Falcons 26
    Hawks 23
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  • theres no Haushka guys, its Longwell, ive noticed some of you guys still throwin his name out into your predictions. anyway. My prediction.

    Hawks 21
    Falcs - 17
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  • hawksfansinceday1 wrote:I've been struggling with this all week. In the end, I have a bad feeling the our team's pass rush issues will be their undoing. I keep flashing back to visions of their offense moving down the field with the game's last posession and scoring to win it in the end because Ryan sits in the pocket without pressure and picks apart the Hawks' defense. Of course I sincerely hope to be wrong.

    Falcons 26
    Hawks 23



    We have had plenty of time to address 3rd down pass rush issues and find our weaknesses. Clem or no Clem we will be able to put sufficient pressure on the Ryan to force at least one turnover. The addition of Patrick at DE, he is ripped, in nickel will offer a differant type of player on the strong side nickel package D. Although start time is a bummer, this is the playoffs and adrenaline will be flowing in our young Hawks. We keep them to 2 touchdowns and some feild goals.

    Hawks 27+
    Falcons 20
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  • Okay as the game gets closer I'm feeling more and more confident that this in fact may be our year. Is it too late to change my prediction? ;)
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  • I say it's going to be very close. I never go against the seahawks. Longwell comes in and makes a FG from a 2 minute drive by wilson. 23-20 Hawks.
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  • Aros wrote:Okay as the game gets closer I'm feeling more and more confident that this in fact may be our year. Is it too late to change my prediction? ;)


    That's me every game. Including this one.
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  • Seahawks 31 Falcons 21
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  • I ain't skurred... I'm from the future and I have my sports almanac with me right now. Sadly, if I nail the score exactly, I'll have the FBI/CIA at my door wanting to steal my technology for it's evil purposes...and I can't risk that happening.

    But....

    ****SPOILER ALERT****

    Seahawks = 50 burger
    Falcons = Not as much as us.
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  • Say it ain't so Aros,................say it ain't so.

    Please,...............Russ an' the boys are going to eat these guys alive.

    Seriously,...........

    .........I love the matchups (across the board), but I still think Ryan is a choker, and Wilson is NOT.

    And our Defense,...........fuggedaboudit. Lights-out. Shut-down. Whatever!!!! They're IT.

    Seahawks: 37 Falcons: 13
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  • I have been a Hawks fan too long to make some blind, homer pick.

    I was thinking after last Sunday, that the Seahawks had accomplished their goals, that they had done enough this season because as a fan, I was satisfied with their run.

    Then I realized something, the Seahawks aren't satisfied. They know that they can beat anyone and the more I looked at the Hawks last 9 games, the more I saw a team that doesn't have to do anything special. They just what they do, every week and they usually end up on top when it is over.

    The events that transpired over this run have been different, but all 3 pieces of this team have played consistently in every game.

    The defense has allowed just over 12 points a game in their last 6 games with 3 of those games on the road.

    The offense has run the ball to levels I can't even fathom in that stretch and the passing game has been more than efficient as Wilson just keeps that steady composure, no matter the situation.

    I am not one to over analyze stats, but it is easy to see that Hawks just have to do what they always do to get a win in Atlanta. The Falcons are good enough to win 13 of the regular season games they were presented with. None of those teams are like the Seahawks, none of them.

    The Falcons aren't the 89 Niners, they have weaknesses, several of them in fact and the Seahawks will find it and exploit it without even focusing on it.

    The only weakness I can even potentially present for the Hawks is the hole left by Clemons, but that hole (which has yet to be proven) is the run defense that Clemons had. Too bad for Atlanta that they don't focus on running the ball much.

    Aside from that, I just feel the consistency from the Hawks is too much for the Falcons to handle. Wilson does not get rattled, ever, this team has absolutely no pressure on them to do anything differently than they have been doing.

    That's why I am giving this to the Hawks, 30-23. I typically go with Todd on these picks, but not this time.
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  • Seahawks 24 Falcons 21

    I'm a homer all the way. Red Bryant blocks a field goal attempt in the final minute to preserve the win.
    Go Hawks, Just win!
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  • Seahawks 31, Falcons 20.
    Falcons move the ball well most of the day against us, and get a couple TD's and a couple FG's. We move the ball and score TD's on them.
    We get a key turnover that gets turned into a score and are +1 on the day in turnovers.
    If we get an early lead, we'll get more turnovers, be +2, and win by 38-17.
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  • Falcons are really good at home. I'm really proud of this team and we have an amazing future.

    Falcons 27-20
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  • For some reason I feel extreamly calm about this game.

    Delusional homer prediction, 40 burgers for falcons fans all around :179422:
    42 - 10
    Hawks
    relistic prediction :thirishdrinkers:
    28 - 14
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  • This is by no means an easy game. Anyone who thinks so is ignoring all factors. The Falcons a good team playing at home. A very good offense that has scored under 20 only 2 times all season. They will most likely score 25-30 pts. And the Hawks are going to have to score more if they want to win this thing. Fans predicting the Falcons being held to 15 or less pts are not being realistic.

    The key to the game for me is going to be the Hawks' ability to get off the field on 3rd downs. This game to me is the Detroit game all over again. Only against a better version of the Lions. Explosive offense, playing at home in a dome. Against Detroit the Hawks gave up a disgusting % of 3rd downs. And lost the game specifically because of it. The Atlanta Falcons are the #2 offense on 3rd downs this year, converting 45% of them. If the Hawks D gives up on 3rd like they did in Detroit, they lose. Plain and simple.

    And we haven't even talked about the big scary elephant in the corner. This Atlanta team is basically us in 2005. A #1 seed that hasn't won anything before, being told by everyone in the country that they are going to choke. They have the ultimate "nobody believes in us!" card to play. You know the Falcons want nothing more than to prove everyone wrong, and to remove the choker label that has been placed on Matt Ryan and Mike Smith. These are the sort of factors that can lead a lesser team to a victory, let alone a team that went 13-3 that is playing at home where it plays very well.

    The Hawks most certainly have a shot. But they absolutely have to bring their A game. Both on offense to score enough points to stay ahead of the Falcons, who aren't being shut out. And on defense, where a highly effective passing game is going to attack them right in their biggest weakness, lack of pass rush and 3rd down struggles. If the Hawks can put up points as well as pull off a respectable 3rd down stop %, they stand a very good chance at winning. If not, all the other factors will lead to an extremely hungry Atlanta team doing what we did to Washington at home, after a bye, in the 2nd round. Shut up all the naysayers. Hopefully the Hawks prevent that. But they are going to have to bring their A game. And are going to have to play a lot better than they did last week in DC.
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  • 28-17 Seahawks. Bad run defense + Marshawn Lynch means 0-4 for the Falcons.
    43-8...it's all about that action boss....
    next man up.
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  • SeaTown81 wrote:This is by no means an easy game. Anyone who thinks so is ignoring all factors. The Falcons a good team playing at home. A very good offense that has scored under 20 only 2 times all season. They will most likely score 25-30 pts. And the Hawks are going to have to score more if they want to win this thing. Fans predicting the Falcons being held to 15 or less pts are not being realistic.


    And we've got a very good defense that has allowed over 23 points only 2 times all season. So we are to automatically assume that the Falcons are going to exceed that? Do we assume that the Atlanta trend holds, or do we assume that the Seattle one does? Perhaps it's somewhere in the middle, where Atlanta scores around 21-24 points - more than we typically give up, but less than they typically score.

    If you can buy that idea, then you have to ask yourself if you feel that the Seahawks offense can score more than that. I think they can.
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  • volsunghawk wrote:And we've got a very good defense that has allowed over 23 points only 2 times all season. So we are to automatically assume that the Falcons are going to exceed that?


    Our defense hasn't faced a receiving corps like this. I frankly expect Browner to come out of this matchup looking like toast.
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  • MontanaHawk05 wrote:
    volsunghawk wrote:And we've got a very good defense that has allowed over 23 points only 2 times all season. So we are to automatically assume that the Falcons are going to exceed that?


    Our defense hasn't faced a receiving corps like this. I frankly expect Browner to come out of this matchup looking like toast.


    Their offense hasn't faced a secondary like this.
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  • What I can't shake off is how easy it was for the Redskins to score 14 on us in the 1st quarter. The Falcons are a much different passing team then the Redskins; more proficient with a superior receiving corp. Help me get over my angst! Calling Dr Feelgood....
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  • It will be quite insane if Atlanta scores more than their season average against the #1 scoring defense in the NFL. That's not a prediction, since it's based on no evidence. That's just a guess.
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  • SeaTown81 wrote:...
    And we haven't even talked about the big scary elephant in the corner. This Atlanta team is basically us in 2005. A #1 seed that hasn't won anything before, being told by everyone in the country that they are going to choke. They have the ultimate "nobody believes in us!" card to play. You know the Falcons want nothing more than to prove everyone wrong, and to remove the choker label that has been placed on Matt Ryan and Mike Smith. These are the sort of factors that can lead a lesser team to a victory, let alone a team that went 13-3 that is playing at home where it plays very well.


    A lot of your "Atlanta is the Seahawks in 2005" points are on the money. I'm worried about some of those same things. Atlanta has a (passing) offense that can flat out move the ball and score on anyone. But they DO NOT have a big-time RUNNING GAME like the 2005 Seahawks had. I remember feeling sorry for the pathetic Carolina fans in 2005, who didn't see it coming that Seattle would bulldoze right over them with Shaun Alexander behind Walter Jones and Steve Hutchinson.
    For another analog, Denver with John Elway kept losing in the Super Bowl. Absolutely blown out by Washington. Then they played Holmgren's Packers and I knew the Broncos would win, because this time they had Terrell Davis and that big-time running game.

    This year's Seahawks don't have quite the running game of the 2005 Seahawks--but wait, there's Russell Wilson and the read option! And a quarterback who can scramble and create! So really, we are on a par with the 2005 Seahawks, and in some ways better, on the offensive side of the ball, and with a better, deeper defense.

    This year's Atlanta team is reminiscent of some of the Air Coryell San Diego Chargers teams, and Ryan is like a poor man's Dan Fouts, and Tony Gonzalez is a HOF tight end just like Kellen Winslow (Sr.) The Chargers made it to the Super Bowl *once* that I can recall out of those years, and that was just *after* the Air Coryell years.

    Atlanta is also somewhat reminiscent of the Kurt-Warner-led St. Louis Rams teams, except with no Marshall Faulk. But remember how, in the NFC Championship game, the Rams barely got by Tampa Bay and their elite defense, in an offense-less slugfest? (a former Seahawk WR caught the game-winning TD from Warner) If Tampa Bay had a passable offense that season, they would have had another Super Bowl title.

    Anyway, Seattle's D will do a better job of slowing down Atlanta's O than Atlanta's D will to with Seattle's O.
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  • Some of you might be content with losing, but I'm not! I have to walk out of a stadium with either sad, angry, frustrated Atlanta fans or giddy, cocky, arrogant ones.... I want sad and angry!!!!
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  • My extensive thoughts on the game can be found in my Seahawks-Falcons Preview Piece ... but I'm going out on a limb and saying the Hawks will pull this one out in a hard fought game ...

    Seahawks 24
    Falcons 21

    [PS: If some of you haven't checked out that piece yet, I would encourage you to do so -- in particular to check out the Falcons Strength of Schedule I have posted there in the "Bold Prediction" section at the end. Might make some of you breathe a tiny bit easier.]
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  • MontanaHawk05 wrote:
    volsunghawk wrote:And we've got a very good defense that has allowed over 23 points only 2 times all season. So we are to automatically assume that the Falcons are going to exceed that?


    Our defense hasn't faced a receiving corps like this. I frankly expect Browner to come out of this matchup looking like toast.

    True. But that is a dangerous game for Atlanta too. Browner might get burned, and he might make a big play.
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  • I was watching the post game show tonight and when Mack Strong mentioned the final score it suddenly dawned on me that my fearless prediction was off by just one point. This isn't meant to be any pat on the back, just that it struck me as weird to be that close with a weird score. 31-28. So much for my 53-17 dream the other night. (sigh)

    So to make sure this post isn't a complete waste of time, please enjoy one of favorite YouTube videos...

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  • Aros wrote:Yet, all this week, I've had a bad feeling that the Seahawks 2012 journey will come to and end in Atlanta. I've listened to those smarter than I am go over the matchups. There are valid points to be made by both sides why they think their team will win. For me, it comes down to a few factors. Losing Clemons is HUGE. Losing Hauschka could prove to be the difference. Hopefully not, but he could be. I think the Falcons are spittin' mad over all the talk how HOT the Seahawks are and all you hear about the NFC's #1 seed is how they have failed to advance in the playoffs their past 4 tries. Our corners are the perfect kryptonite to their big receivers, but it's not their receivers I'm concerned with. Gonzalez and anybody else Trufant and our LB's will have to cover.

    I think Magic Russ will still be impressive. He will find his touchdowns, and run for chunks at a time, keeping the chains moving. I also expect Lynch to have another 100+ yard performance.

    It will likely be a fun, high-scoring affair by both teams, and a really fun game for the country to watch.

    I'm just afraid we will fall short this Sunday. If I'm wrong, there's no crow to eat. I won't be surprised if we win. It's just been one of those years, and the magic could continue onto the NFC Championship. I'm going to go with my gut this time and say the Seahawks put up another valiant effort but fall a bit short in the points department.


    Aros' Fearless Prediction: Seahawks 28 - Falcons 31

    Aros' Fearless Record: 12-5


    That's a damn impressive prediction.
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