Looking at our win/loss record, and who we beat and who we lost to, there are only three games that jump out at me as games that "should have" gone the way they did: SF, NYJ & CAR. Looking at their records from this point in the season, we "should have" lost against SF, and we did. We "should have" beaten NYJ, and we did. We "should have" beaten CAR, and we did. All others are games that probably "should have" gone the other way.
The Bears game is one we probably "should" lose. If we win, it will probably not be as surprising as it could be. We've already won against some very tough teams. CHI will be just another in that list.
Sure, it's on the road, and that's problematic. But in spite of our record, we're not as bad off in that department as folks think. In five road losses, a single key play meant the difference between a win and a loss. Some games there were multiple plays that if only one would have gone better, would have made the difference. And when elevating your play to win instead of lose takes as little as playing better on a single play, you're pretty damned close.
The Bears were quite literally decimated by injuries this week. We tend to play up to tough teams, and have won or almost won against teams tougher than the Bears. Yes, it's a huge, tough game, but let's look at things in the larger scope of things. Chicago is a whole lot closer than Miami. We know it's tough, and we'll plan accordingly. Looking back after the Chicago game and seeing a 7-5 record, would we be surprised if we'd have wins against ARI, STL, DET, and MIA, but losses against DAL, GB, NE, and CHI? I think not. I think at this point, if those wins and losses were reversed, we would have a completely different mindset.
"The ultimate number is W's, and that’s what matters in Santa Clara. As such, Jed York does not own the 49ers; Russell Wilson does." - Paul Gutierrez