dogorama
New member
Following up on my last two posts re: the danger of trading first round picks, and how to determine if a first round pick will be successful, I found this article. "Tracking NFL Draft Efficiency: How Contingent Is Success To Draft Position?"
The first finding shows that 1st rounders are, not surprisingly, much more likely to become starters at nearly 30% w/a drop off to 17.5% for 2nd rounders. They are also much more likely to have started the most amount of games compared to 2nd rounders 67.5% to 33.8% (since 2010). 1st rounders also were much more likely to be all-pros registering 48.5% to only 14% for 2nd rounders. For the full article: http://www.forbes.com/sites/prishe/2015 ... 01257828ea
The first finding shows that 1st rounders are, not surprisingly, much more likely to become starters at nearly 30% w/a drop off to 17.5% for 2nd rounders. They are also much more likely to have started the most amount of games compared to 2nd rounders 67.5% to 33.8% (since 2010). 1st rounders also were much more likely to be all-pros registering 48.5% to only 14% for 2nd rounders. For the full article: http://www.forbes.com/sites/prishe/2015 ... 01257828ea