HawkWow wrote:Geno is the next TJ, IMO and *Barkley the next Sanchez. 3 years from now, we will fully understand just how gawd-awful this draft really is for QBs. The draft is my favorite weekend of the year and while I do not profess to be a guru, I don't see a QB worth a 1st. Several will still go in the 1st and I believe those teams will suffer the consequences.
*Barkley may surpass Sanchez and Leinert because he has the benefit of learning from their slacker, GQ, primadonna ways. I don't believe he has more talent, but he will likely out work them. He will also benefit from the fact greatness is not going to be thrust upon him. The word is out on SC QBs and I think that is actually a good thing for Matt Barkley.
I'm confident the opinion of this quarterback class will be much higher
3 years from now than where that opinion is today. Why? Because I think we are in a new era in the NFL- and I'm not referring to the read-option. We are in an era where the college game is the driving force for new football ideologies instead of the pros, and because of this we are seeing quarterbacks enter the NFL more prepared than at any time in NFL history.
We've seen that play out in the last two drafts. People knew Luck would be good, but that was basically it for a "sure thing." RG3 was raw, uneducated on NFL offenses and injury prone- a huge gamble. Ryan Tannehill was a derided top 10 pick- compared by some to Christian Ponder (as a draft reach). Russell Wilson was called the worst pick in the draft by some. This time last year, NOBODY knew we had maybe the greatest QB class of all time right in front of us.
And in 2011, nobody was talking that group up at all- and yet Cam Newton, Colin Kaepernick, and Andy Dalton have all since become franchise QBs.
Ever wonder why there has been so much success at finding QBs the last couple years? Hint: it's not because they were ultra rare QB classes. It's because the difference between the NFL and the college game has never been smaller. (And also because some very smart coaches have been drafting QBs).
Guys like Smith, Barkley, Wilson, and Nassib are all viable rookie starters because of how much they developed in college. Do I think any of them are going to be NFL MVPs? Maybe not. But that doesn't mean they aren't worth a first round pick. Just ask Baltimore how drafting Joe Flacco worked out for them. I think this QB class compares very well to 2008 at the top, but is much stronger in the 2nd tier. Before their breakout seasons in 2012 both Flacco and Ryan were good/competent QBs that brought a ton of value to their teams. I see this group being the same, it's a low floor group without the elite ceiling, but that still makes it vastly better than most QB classes pre-2011 if you actually look them up and read down the names. Then you factor in Manuel, Glennon, and Scott. Anyone who doesn't see multiple quality QBs out of that group of seven is crazy, IMO.
The Sanchez/Leinart comparisons to Matt Barkley need to stop immediately. Those quarterbacks played mostly with a different a coaching staff and against different players, they were helped by Pete Carroll in a way that Barkley did not benefit from in 3 of his 4 seasons. Barkley has 4 years experience. Sanchez had 17 total starts. Matt Leinart has no drive to excel and quit under adversity. Matt Barkley has dealt with adversity going through two death penalty seasons and then a very difficult final year, while dealing with (IMO) a dysfunctional coaching staff. Barkley's personality and intangibles are 180 degrees from Matt Leinart.
More than that, Barkley, Sanchez, and Leinart are three different prospects. Holding Sanchez and Leinart against Barkley because they went to USC- it's the same logic that people used against Aaron Rodgers in 2005 when they labelled him a "Tedford QB" in the wake of previous Cal busts like Kyle Boller. That logic failed spectacularly in 2005 (thank goodness- Aaron Rodgers would be in SF right now). It appears it will rear it's head again in 2013, this time for Matt Barkley.