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CFP Predictions

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CFP Predictions
Mon Aug 20, 2018 8:21 pm
  • Who you got?

    I'm thinking:

    1. Alabama
    2. Clemson

    are the locks. The other two spots get a little dicier. I'm guessing the Big-10 and PAC-12, if Washington beats Auburn, get the final two spot, with the second most likely scenario being Big-10 and Georgia (if Washington doesn't beat Auburn). The Big-12 is out there lurking, but I suspect they don't get in.

    So my final two:

    3. Michigan (surprise, probably, but I don't think Wisconsin has what it takes to win the conference, Ohio State whithers under scandal, and Penn State takes a step back. Meanwhile, Harbs gets a quarterback and is able to do something with it).
    4. Oklahoma (I know I listed UW as the most likely scenario, but I just don't think they're going to beat Auburn after traveling across the country and I listed Georgia as a more likely scenario but for Georgia to get in at #4, they basically have to get in after losing their Conference Title game, something Alabama didn't have to do last year. So while I think UW and UGA would be better teams, I don't think the chips will fall right for them).
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Re: CFP Predictions
Mon Aug 20, 2018 8:59 pm
  • Alabama, Georgia, Clemson, Ohio State.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 12:55 am
  • Alabama, Clemson, Georgia, Wisconsin.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 1:18 am
  • If Alabama and Georgia are again handed CFP spots with their respective non-conference schedules, then screw college football and the entire playoff process. Blow it up and try something else.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:01 am
  • I can see that point of view, but when they are the two best teams . . .
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:54 am
  • UW doesn't need to beat Auburn to make the playoffs.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 8:13 am
  • fenderbender123 wrote:UW doesn't need to beat Auburn to make the playoffs.


    That might be true in theory. It's not true in reality though. The PAC-12 is going to need a little special something and without that win, I don't think they'll have it.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 8:28 am
  • They made it in 2016 with 1 loss to a good team. Why is 2018 different? Seems like we always assume that every team has to go undefeated to make the playoffs when in reality most teams that do make it are not.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 8:42 am
  • fenderbender123 wrote:They made it in 2016 with 1 loss to a good team. Why is 2018 different? Seems like we always assume that every team has to go undefeated to make the playoffs when in reality most teams that do make it are not.


    That's true but several one loss teams don't make the playoffs each year. And I think PAC-12 perception is probably the lowest of all the conferences. My point isn't so much that UW needs to be undefeated so much as they will need that signature win over Auburn to say the PAC-12 belongs. Remember, yes, UW made the playoffs a few years ago and got rather embarrassed.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 9:15 am
  • UW's defense kept them in that entire game. It wasn't until the 4th quarter that Alabama scored a TD to go up by 17, which is a solid victory, but a far cry from an embarrassing blowout.

    But okay, if we want to go by that logic, then a 1 loss Ohio State team should not make it to the playoffs over Washington this year since they got even more embarrassed by Clemson in the first round of the 2016 playoffs losing 31-0.

    And also, a 1 loss Clemson team should not get into the playoffs over Washington either since last year they lost to Alabama by 18 points in the playoffs, which is 1 more point than UW lost to them by in 2016.

    So then would you at least agree that Clemson and Ohio State should not get in over Washington if all 3 have 1 losses?
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 9:28 am
  • HawkGA wrote: Remember, yes, UW made the playoffs a few years ago and got rather embarrassed.


    It was a 10 point game early in the fourth until Scarbrough broke the long run on a play where Gaines was blatantly held just before making the tackle, but sure, UW was 'rather embarassed'.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 9:56 am
  • I agree with Fender that a 1 loss UW team could still get in. Especially if that 1 loss is to Auburn in Atlanta in the 1st game of the season. Seems like the earlier in the season a loss is, the more "forgivable" it is as far as rankings goes. In other words, I think they could recover enough in the eyes of the committee from a loss to Auburn the first game of the season to still be one of the top 4 teams by the end of the season, but if they lost to Stanford in November, for example, I think they'd be screwed even if they beat Auburn earlier. Just too late in the season to climb back up the rankings most likely.

    On another note, what's with this silly charade that they are playing on a neutral field? Literally everybody knows that this is not a neutral field. It's about 100 miles from Auburn to Atlanta, it's over 2600 miles from Seattle to Atlanta. What is the problem with just admitting that this essentially a home game for Auburn?

    How about next season Auburn comes and opens the season in Seattle? We can play at Century Link Field instead of Husky Stadium so it can be a neutral field and totes not a home game for UW. :roll:
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 10:25 am
  • Chapow wrote:
    How about next season Auburn comes and opens the season in Seattle? We can play at Century Link Field instead of Husky Stadium so it can be a neutral field and totes not a home game for UW. :roll:


    I would be all for that. I said in another thread that I would like to see a West Coast business start up a similar sponsored game like Chick-Fil-A does. That would be great.

    I think it's fair to say (whether it is actually fair or not, it does seem to be the case) that the PAC-12 doesn't have a strong rep as a conference. Sure other teams have had bad losses in the playoffs, but those other conferences have been there multiple times too. Heck, Clemson won it two years ago. Unless I'm mistaken, the PAC-12's only appearance has been with Washington (and yes, Washington's defense was stout in the game and they made it a lot more respectable than I expected, but that game was never really in doubt because their offense was smothered that game). So Washington is essentially battling uphill.

    In short, I think you could automatically pencil in the champions of the SEC, ACC, and Big-10 into the playoffs. The last spot is up for grabs between the PAC-12 champion, the Big-12 champion, Notre Dame, and a second SEC team.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 11:05 am
  • HawkGA wrote:Sure other teams have had bad losses in the playoffs, but those other conferences have been there multiple times too. Heck, Clemson won it two years ago. Unless I'm mistaken, the PAC-12's only appearance has been with Washington (and yes, Washington's defense was stout in the game and they made it a lot more respectable than I expected, but that game was never really in doubt because their offense was smothered that game). So Washington is essentially battling uphill.


    I don't disagree that this will be the mentality of many fans and maybe even some of those in charge of making decisions.

    But that very reasoning is exactly why Washington should be let in. The Clemson and Ohio State losses prove that they can happen and are not indicative of a conference being weak. If Clemson and Ohio state have been given multiple chances, and proven that they can win it when given multiple chances, then so should Washington.

    One P5 conference should never be rated higher than another. There is no valid statistics or science that prove that any one conference is better than another. If anything, the Pac-12 should be considered the hardest conference considering how few teams have statistically gone undefeated in conference play. What's there been, like 8 since it's entire history going pack to the Pac-8? Top to bottom, it's actually a really tough conference.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 11:41 am
  • fenderbender123 wrote:
    HawkGA wrote:Sure other teams have had bad losses in the playoffs, but those other conferences have been there multiple times too. Heck, Clemson won it two years ago. Unless I'm mistaken, the PAC-12's only appearance has been with Washington (and yes, Washington's defense was stout in the game and they made it a lot more respectable than I expected, but that game was never really in doubt because their offense was smothered that game). So Washington is essentially battling uphill.


    I don't disagree that this will be the mentality of many fans and maybe even some of those in charge of making decisions.

    But that very reasoning is exactly why Washington should be let in. The Clemson and Ohio State losses prove that they can happen and are not indicative of a conference being weak. If Clemson and Ohio state have been given multiple chances, and proven that they can win it when given multiple chances, then so should Washington.

    One P5 conference should never be rated higher than another. There is no valid statistics or science that prove that any one conference is better than another. If anything, the Pac-12 should be considered the hardest conference considering how few teams have statistically gone undefeated in conference play. What's there been, like 8 since it's entire history going pack to the Pac-8? Top to bottom, it's actually a really tough conference.


    Any conference that can be won by Oregon recently isn't that good. :pimp:
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 12:01 pm
  • Gonna be tough for Washington. If they lose to Auburn they probably have to go unbeaten in conference play. That stretch around the UCLA and Oregon games worries me with both being away. Can't see being allowed in with 2 losses.

    There's always a danger we lose to Arizona St too who seem to have a knack of beating us.

    If they beat Auburn though they'll get a lot more slack for beating an SEC darling. Gonna be tough though.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 12:13 pm
  • Chip Kelly and Herm Edwards don't scare me. Not too worried about Oregon either.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 2:08 pm
  • KitsapGuy wrote:Chip Kelly and Herm Edwards don't scare me. Not too worried about Oregon either.



    Y’all should be worried about your qb, your passing game and your pass rush. Not other teams. Uw is way overrated, just so the sec can say they beat a top 5 team after Auburn smashes them.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 2:25 pm
  • JSeahawks wrote:
    KitsapGuy wrote:Chip Kelly and Herm Edwards don't scare me. Not too worried about Oregon either.



    Y’all should be worried about your qb, your passing game and your pass rush. Not other teams. Uw is way overrated, just so the sec can say they beat a top 5 team after Auburn smashes them.


    QB, sure...he's had so much time to develop and prove himself.

    But the pass rush? Like I've said before...guys stepped up in 2016 pretty unexpectedly. Guys like Gaines, Mathis, etc. Why can't that happen again?
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:27 pm

Re: CFP Predictions
Fri Aug 24, 2018 2:15 pm
  • JSeahawks wrote:
    KitsapGuy wrote:Chip Kelly and Herm Edwards don't scare me. Not too worried about Oregon either.



    Y’all should be worried about your qb, your passing game and your pass rush. Not other teams. Uw is way overrated, just so the sec can say they beat a top 5 team after Auburn smashes them.


    UW is not overrated, if you go by their season ending stats and the fact that they return 17 starters it is very reasonable that they are ranked where they are. That doesn't necessarily mean they are going to finish that high but the ranking isn't w/o enough facts to justify it.

    If anyone should be worried about their own team it's Oregon. With a QB that has only been healthy enough to play 1/2 of the last two seasons, a coach who hasn't been able to win more than 33% of his games, and the 46th ranked defense, Oregon has more than enough of its own problems.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Sun Aug 26, 2018 12:28 am
  • fenderbender123 wrote:They made it in 2016 with 1 loss to a good team. Why is 2018 different? Seems like we always assume that every team has to go undefeated to make the playoffs when in reality most teams that do make it are not.


    We don't need to be undefeated to make the CFP, but a loss to the third best SEC team will savagely hurt our chances.

    I haven't been this stressed out for a football game since SB XVLIII. Close against the Patriots, and close when the Huskies played Bama. But this is make or break on week 1, and that's a new and shitty feeling.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Sun Aug 26, 2018 3:23 pm
  • schkoot wrote:I haven't been this stressed out for a football game since SB XVLIII.


    I hear ya, easy to have high expectations when you are returning so many starters, especially at skill positions. That, and the fact that we have a very experienced OL bodes well for the offense. On defense we are generally regarded as having either the #1 or #2 defensive backfield in the nation. I am hoping that experience will be deciding factor in the first game of the season.

    As for concerns, the talent composite shows Auburn as having the 8th best talent in the country and UDub as having the 24th best. Also, this will essentially be a home game for Auburn AND the time difference makes it a 10AM games for our Huskies, something that has never bode well for Seattle teams.

    Do I have a prediction? Absolutely not, I tend to be overly optimistic w/my teams so I try to leave the prediction game alone. Anything could happen, a blow out (either way) or a close game seem just as likely in a first-game scenario.

    I just hope it's not painful to watch, lol.

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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Aug 28, 2018 6:45 am
  • Here are all the ESPN *Expert* picks.

    http://www.espn.com/college-football/st ... yoff-teams

    One thing I'd like to highlight is that the PAC-12 makes an appearance in 25 of the 42 picks (I think I counted that right). By far UW is the lead PAC-12 team, though Stanford makes a few appearances and I think USC makes one. There are some crazy scenarios, like one person picks 2 teams from the ACC - that's not happening - and one person picks Michigan to win it all (that's Desmond Howard, not homerism going on there). The SEC gets two teams in for some picks and I think the Big-10 gets two teams in for some. But it just goes to support what I said above, that the PAC-12 has a tough road to hoe to get into the playoff. Not impossible, certainly, but their champion is by no means a lock.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Wed Aug 29, 2018 9:06 am
  • fenderbender123 wrote:
    HawkGA wrote:Sure other teams have had bad losses in the playoffs, but those other conferences have been there multiple times too. Heck, Clemson won it two years ago. Unless I'm mistaken, the PAC-12's only appearance has been with Washington (and yes, Washington's defense was stout in the game and they made it a lot more respectable than I expected, but that game was never really in doubt because their offense was smothered that game). So Washington is essentially battling uphill.


    I don't disagree that this will be the mentality of many fans and maybe even some of those in charge of making decisions.

    But that very reasoning is exactly why Washington should be let in. The Clemson and Ohio State losses prove that they can happen and are not indicative of a conference being weak. If Clemson and Ohio state have been given multiple chances, and proven that they can win it when given multiple chances, then so should Washington.

    One P5 conference should never be rated higher than another. There is no valid statistics or science that prove that any one conference is better than another. If anything, the Pac-12 should be considered the hardest conference considering how few teams have statistically gone undefeated in conference play. What's there been, like 8 since it's entire history going pack to the Pac-8? Top to bottom, it's actually a really tough conference.



    Show me just one expert that believes the P12 is stouter than the SEC, ACC or BIG10. That will never happen. Who decides which teams get in? "Experts". P12 is screwed.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Wed Aug 29, 2018 9:13 am
  • WmHBonney wrote:
    fenderbender123 wrote:
    HawkGA wrote:Sure other teams have had bad losses in the playoffs, but those other conferences have been there multiple times too. Heck, Clemson won it two years ago. Unless I'm mistaken, the PAC-12's only appearance has been with Washington (and yes, Washington's defense was stout in the game and they made it a lot more respectable than I expected, but that game was never really in doubt because their offense was smothered that game). So Washington is essentially battling uphill.


    I don't disagree that this will be the mentality of many fans and maybe even some of those in charge of making decisions.

    But that very reasoning is exactly why Washington should be let in. The Clemson and Ohio State losses prove that they can happen and are not indicative of a conference being weak. If Clemson and Ohio state have been given multiple chances, and proven that they can win it when given multiple chances, then so should Washington.

    One P5 conference should never be rated higher than another. There is no valid statistics or science that prove that any one conference is better than another. If anything, the Pac-12 should be considered the hardest conference considering how few teams have statistically gone undefeated in conference play. What's there been, like 8 since it's entire history going pack to the Pac-8? Top to bottom, it's actually a really tough conference.



    Show me just one expert that believes the P12 is stouter than the SEC, ACC or BIG10. That will never happen. Who decides which teams get in? "Experts". P12 is screwed.


    "That will never happen." Were you born yesterday? The whole "best conference" thing is cyclic, I can remember times when the Pac was superior to ALL of those conferences.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Wed Aug 29, 2018 11:23 am
  • WmHBonney wrote:
    fenderbender123 wrote:
    HawkGA wrote:Sure other teams have had bad losses in the playoffs, but those other conferences have been there multiple times too. Heck, Clemson won it two years ago. Unless I'm mistaken, the PAC-12's only appearance has been with Washington (and yes, Washington's defense was stout in the game and they made it a lot more respectable than I expected, but that game was never really in doubt because their offense was smothered that game). So Washington is essentially battling uphill.


    I don't disagree that this will be the mentality of many fans and maybe even some of those in charge of making decisions.

    But that very reasoning is exactly why Washington should be let in. The Clemson and Ohio State losses prove that they can happen and are not indicative of a conference being weak. If Clemson and Ohio state have been given multiple chances, and proven that they can win it when given multiple chances, then so should Washington.

    One P5 conference should never be rated higher than another. There is no valid statistics or science that prove that any one conference is better than another. If anything, the Pac-12 should be considered the hardest conference considering how few teams have statistically gone undefeated in conference play. What's there been, like 8 since it's entire history going pack to the Pac-8? Top to bottom, it's actually a really tough conference.



    Show me just one expert that believes the P12 is stouter than the SEC, ACC or BIG10. That will never happen. Who decides which teams get in? "Experts". P12 is screwed.


    I can't. But that doesn't mean they're right, which is my point. And also, Washington made it in before with 1 loss. Why not again?
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Re: CFP Predictions
Wed Aug 29, 2018 1:02 pm
  • Nobody is saying UW can't get in with one loss, just that the loss probably can't be against Auburn. The PAC-12 needs some extra juice to separate itself and get in.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Thu Aug 30, 2018 5:44 am
  • HawkGA wrote:Nobody is saying UW can't get in with one loss, just that the loss probably can't be against Auburn. The PAC-12 needs some extra juice to separate itself and get in.


    If Auburn finishes the season in the top 25, then a loss to them won't hurt them as much.

    It's the shitty teams you don't want to lose to. That's what the CFB playoff committee looks at. A 1 loss Washington team who only lost to Auburn more than likely gets in.

    The thing is, that it is unlikely Washington will go undefeated in conference play. That's a better argument for why we can't lose.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Thu Aug 30, 2018 11:04 am
  • fenderbender123 wrote:
    HawkGA wrote:Nobody is saying UW can't get in with one loss, just that the loss probably can't be against Auburn. The PAC-12 needs some extra juice to separate itself and get in.


    If Auburn finishes the season in the top 25, then a loss to them won't hurt them as much.

    It's the shitty teams you don't want to lose to. That's what the CFB playoff committee looks at. A 1 loss Washington team who only lost to Auburn more than likely gets in.

    The thing is, that it is unlikely Washington will go undefeated in conference play. That's a better argument for why we can't lose.


    I would have to agree with this, a loss against a top team isn't as relevant as a loss to a lesser team AND it has been my experience that losses early in the season aren't nearly as impactful as losses later in the season.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Sun Sep 02, 2018 6:52 am
  • Well I'm not sure that yesterday could have gone worse for the Huskies and the PAC-12 in general.

    You've already got the narrative of the PAC-12 not being an impressive conference. Here's a snippet from an ESPN article:

    http://www.espn.com/college-football/st ... ock-week-1
    SELL: The Pac-12's playoff hopes

    It's not just that Washington lost to Auburn. It's true that would've been a signature nonconference win for the league and for its best team, and it's also true the Huskies had their chances to pull off the victory. But it didn't happen, and now there's really not a clear chance to change the narrative the rest of the way. UCLA gets its shot at Oklahoma next week, but that's not likely to end well. Stanford faces off against Notre Dame in Week 5, making that essentially a must-win. The problem is there's already a storyline the Pac-12 needs to fight, and every missed opportunity looms larger and larger. Add in that Oklahoma looked great -- thus giving the Big 12 at least one likely playoff contender -- and it's already an uphill battle for the Pac-12, with few opportunities to take a big step forward.


    On top of that, Notre Dame beat Michigan. That sucks for my personal prediction of Michigan making it to the playoffs but it also puts Notre Dame in the conversation. If we go back to the assumption the SEC champ, ACC champ, and Big-10 champ are all in, then fighting for the one remaining spot is: the Big-12 champ, the PAC-12 champ, a second SEC team, and Notre Dame.

    Notre Dame just got a boost to at least stay relevant in that conversation for a while (I suspect I didn't even list them in my earlier post). The Big-12 outside of Oklahoma also looks like garbage, which increases the chance Oklahoma will be undefeated by the end of the year, making it hard to keep them out.

    So essentially all of UW's competition took a step forward while UW took a step back. Still a long season to go, though.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Mon Sep 10, 2018 5:57 pm

Re: CFP Predictions
Mon Oct 01, 2018 3:34 pm
  • Anybody want to update their predictions?

    I have a hard time seeing the SEC get a second team in this year, but there does seem to be a strong consensus that Georgia is a top 3 team. But if you figure Alabama and Georgia square off in the SEC championship game, I have a hard time seeing the loser of that game getting into the playoffs. Could happen, but I just don't think it will. You will have effectively had a playoff game and one team lost.

    I think Notre Dame has a legit shot. I've long thought they wouldn't make it, but I think they might win out and if they do, their in. I don't know if they are a top 4 team, but an undefeated Notre Dame is getting in the playoffs.

    Clemson looks like the most likely of the other conference champions to lose just because of some of the disruption at quarterback.

    So that leaves Oklahoma and Ohio State. Ohio State presumably has the tougher road and could theoretically survive a loss, so long as that loss doesn't keep them out of the conference championship.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Mon Oct 01, 2018 5:50 pm
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Re: CFP Predictions
Mon Oct 01, 2018 7:01 pm
  • Kentucky in the Peach? Holy crap!
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Oct 02, 2018 8:09 am
  • HawkGA wrote:Kentucky in the Peach? Holy crap!


    Notre Dame has a clear path to the CFP. At this point I don't think Clemson belongs, but they also have a pretty easy path to the CFP.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Oct 02, 2018 8:49 am
  • Alabama isn't losing to anyone. They are in.

    Clemson has a cakewalk to the CFP. The ACC is awful. Their only test will be Miami in the ACC championship, assuming Miami gets there. They are in.

    With a win over Penn State, I think Ohio St is in. Their only tough remaining game is at Michigan State which I expect them to win. They will beat Harbough at home. Even if they lose one game I think they are in with how strong their schedule is. If UW can make it with one loss, a team like Ohio St can definitely make it with one loss. Only way we get in over a big 10 team is if the big 10 teams all have two losses. Ohio St should make it.

    The team thay I think will spoil our chance at making it is Notre Dame. The move from Wimbush to Book was huge. Book looks like a great QB. They have an easy schedule and they likely go undefeated.

    Then you still have the three other SEC teams, Georgia, LSU and Auburn. They will beat up on each other, so some of them will fall out of contention at some point. I think Auburn is done as they already lost to LSU and have to play at Georgia and Alabama. LSU is fortunate to have home games against both Georgia and Alabama. If they can win one of those I think they could make a strong case for making it.

    Big12 has Oklahoma and WVU who are very much still in it. With how weak that conference is, I think they will need to go undefeated to make it. The last game of the season WVU hosts Oklahoma, that game could decide it. I don't see any of those teams going undefeated and don't see a Big12 team making it.

    I just don't see a clear path for UW. We really needed that win against Auburn. If it is between UW and another team from the SEC or Big10 with one win, they will take them. Hopefully someone like Clemson just has a really bad game somewhere and loses, same with Notre Dame. Not likely, but could happen.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Oct 02, 2018 10:37 am
  • The Big 12 has a championship game now, right? I wonder if we could get Oklahoma-WVU followed by Okalhoma-WVU?
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Oct 02, 2018 11:36 am
  • Hawk-Lock wrote:Alabama isn't losing to anyone. They are in.

    Clemson has a cakewalk to the CFP. The ACC is awful. Their only test will be Miami in the ACC championship, assuming Miami gets there. They are in.

    With a win over Penn State, I think Ohio St is in. Their only tough remaining game is at Michigan State which I expect them to win. They will beat Harbough at home. Even if they lose one game I think they are in with how strong their schedule is. If UW can make it with one loss, a team like Ohio St can definitely make it with one loss. Only way we get in over a big 10 team is if the big 10 teams all have two losses. Ohio St should make it.

    The team thay I think will spoil our chance at making it is Notre Dame. The move from Wimbush to Book was huge. Book looks like a great QB. They have an easy schedule and they likely go undefeated.

    Then you still have the three other SEC teams, Georgia, LSU and Auburn. They will beat up on each other, so some of them will fall out of contention at some point. I think Auburn is done as they already lost to LSU and have to play at Georgia and Alabama. LSU is fortunate to have home games against both Georgia and Alabama. If they can win one of those I think they could make a strong case for making it.

    Big12 has Oklahoma and WVU who are very much still in it. With how weak that conference is, I think they will need to go undefeated to make it. The last game of the season WVU hosts Oklahoma, that game could decide it. I don't see any of those teams going undefeated and don't see a Big12 team making it.

    I just don't see a clear path for UW. We really needed that win against Auburn. If it is between UW and another team from the SEC or Big10 with one win, they will take them. Hopefully someone like Clemson just has a really bad game somewhere and loses, same with Notre Dame. Not likely, but could happen.


    Excellent breakdown, the irony that we got in last time with our "3-cupcakes," as ESPN put it, and probably won't with only 1-cupcake, shouldn't be lost on anyone. (Of course, that is all supposition, we still have plenty of tough games ahead.)
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Re: CFP Predictions
Mon Oct 08, 2018 8:49 am
  • Well Oklahoma stunk up the joint. I'm still hopeful of an Ohio State loss along the way somewhere. Looking more like an SEC, Big-10, Notre Dame and then wild card (pencil Clemson in for now, but we'll see).
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Re: CFP Predictions
Mon Oct 08, 2018 9:34 am
  • Maybe its just me but I'd rather a Rose Bowl berth than play offs this year. I don't think the Huskies are good enough to beat an Alabama or Clemson yet, especially in the trenches. There's something special about the Rose Bowl as well.

    Maybe in a couple of years if the recruiting classes keep being solid and the next QB's pan out.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Mon Oct 08, 2018 7:29 pm
  • Glasgow Seahawk wrote:Maybe its just me but I'd rather a Rose Bowl berth than play offs this year. I don't think the Huskies are good enough to beat an Alabama or Clemson yet, especially in the trenches. There's something special about the Rose Bowl as well.

    Maybe in a couple of years if the recruiting classes keep being solid and the next QB's pan out.


    No prob with the Rose Bowl and you make a good point although I think we deserve to be in if we run the table. This has turned out to be a pretty tough schedule. By the end of the season we will definitely have one of the top SOS.

    As for recruiting classes you are spot-on, statistically you have to have top classes to compete for the NC. In the last several years we have had only one top-15 class, that probably won't cut it. Here's how NC teams recruited in the last 10 years: https://fansided.com/2018/01/23/college ... g-ranking/
    There's two times of year for me: Football season, and waiting for football season.

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Re: CFP Predictions
Sat Oct 20, 2018 7:24 pm
  • I love it when Ohio State loses!
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Re: CFP Predictions
Sun Oct 21, 2018 3:36 am
  • HawkGA wrote:I love it when Ohio State loses!

    That was fun to see.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Sun Oct 21, 2018 7:10 am
  • Looks like my Michigan prediction might come to fruition.
    Hoping for another stumble by Oklahoma and Texas, and then Michigan and Ohio State and if Wazzu wins out, they end up in the playoffs!
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Re: CFP Predictions
Sat Oct 27, 2018 6:46 pm
  • Texas is going down. I kind of figured Oklahoma would beat them in the Big-12 championship game anyway, but still hurts the conference to have them fall.

    Assuming Bama (and if not Bama, probably whoever wins the SEC), Clemson (who was on fire today), and Notre Dame hold serve, it will be interesting to see how the committee handles the 4th spot. My guess is Big10 holds the edge ever so slightly over the Big12, but it's close. Still pulling for Wazzu to enter the mix.
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Re: CFP Predictions
Sun Oct 28, 2018 11:46 pm
  • The Cougs are the only Pac team with a "mathematical" chance. I hope every team except Bama ends up with 2 or more losses so everyone that runs the dog and pony show's heads explode
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    OrangeGravy
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Re: CFP Predictions
Tue Nov 06, 2018 10:03 am
  • New rankings come out tonight. I'm guessing:
    1. Alabama
    2. Clemson
    3. Notre Dame
    4. Michigan

    I think the only interesting question for these rankings is if Michigan ever leaps over Notre Dame. I don't think it will happen given the head-to-head and the fact Notre Dame is undefeated, but I suspect Michigan is better right now than Notre Dame.

    The other interesting question will be how far Wazzu moves up. My guess is not far, but it will be interesting to see if LSU stays ahead of them or not. I think Wazzu should at least be in a position that if the right teams lose (as could be expected to lose) that they would be in position for the top 4. That would mean I expect Georgia to be in front of them (with the assumption Georgia will lost to Bama and eventually put them below Wazzu). I would think Oklahoma will be in front of them as Oklahoma winning out probably puts them in the playoffs before Wazzu winning out.

    I think that leaves West Virginia, Ohio State, and LSU as the interesting choices. I could see any ordering of those teams being reasonable. I think LSU is probably the best team of the 4 but I think they should be ranked last of those four. 2 losses, should be out of playoff consideration. Time to make room. Ohio State is on a slide and oh how I wish they would slide enough to lose another game and then bounce back and beat Michigan. I suspect that's wishful thinking though. If I'm not mistaken, it's looking like a West Virginia-Oklahoma Big-12 title game and yet those teams still have to play each other. Perhaps they'll split and put each other out of contention.
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